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Old 03-31-2023, 03:15 PM
 
748 posts, read 339,325 times
Reputation: 727

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Courtesy of SteelCityRising in the Pgh forum...

07/01/2020
Allegheny County: 1,249,524
Westmoreland County: 354,316
Washington County: 209,382
Butler County: 194,056
Beaver County: 167,860
Fayette County: 128,569
Armstrong County: 65,459
MSA TOTAL: 2,369,166

07/01/2021
Allegheny County: 1,245,445
Westmoreland County: 353,765
Washington County: 210,012
Butler County: 196,789
Beaver County: 166,914
Fayette County: 127,113
Armstrong County: 65,138
MSA TOTAL: 2,365,176

07/01/2022
Allegheny County: 1,233,253
Westmoreland County: 352,057
Washington County: 210,383
Butler County: 197,300
Beaver County: 165,677
Fayette County: 125,755
Armstrong County: 64,747
MSA TOTAL: 2,349,172

I don't know if anyone has other PA counties. It's been kind of rough. Part of it is continued demographic trends of course and also the pandemic only added to an already older population's decline.

I think it will still be a few years before we see how this decade truly trends, but so far, not so great for Western PA at least.
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Old 04-01-2023, 07:44 AM
 
Location: Boston Metrowest (via the Philly area)
7,270 posts, read 10,596,784 times
Reputation: 8823
The Census estimates are really only good for clickbait news articles. There's absolutely a built-in model bias against northern states.

The only reliable and useful Census counts these days are those that are done in-person decennially, and unfortunately we have to wait another 7 years for that to be done again.

Pennsylvania was dramatically underestimated between the 2019 estimate and the actual 2020 count. The Census Bureau estimate methodology remains the same, and so does its likelihood for errors.
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Old 04-03-2023, 04:30 PM
 
Location: The canyon (with my pistols and knife)
14,186 posts, read 22,738,907 times
Reputation: 17398
Quote:
Originally Posted by Duderino View Post
The Census estimates are really only good for clickbait news articles. There's absolutely a built-in model bias against northern states.

The only reliable and useful Census counts these days are those that are done in-person decennially, and unfortunately we have to wait another 7 years for that to be done again.

Pennsylvania was dramatically underestimated between the 2019 estimate and the actual 2020 count. The Census Bureau estimate methodology remains the same, and so does its likelihood for errors.
The preliminary annual estimates should always be taken with a grain of salt, because they've been proven unreliable in many states, including Pennsylvania. If we need annual population data, then we need to start paying more attention to the revised annual estimates. Those are probably closer to the truth than the preliminary estimates, but they're also much harder to track, because the Census Bureau never shows the preliminary and revised annual estimates side by side for the same year.
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