Quote:
Originally Posted by momonkey
According to a mid-August Gallup poll, Romney leads him by two points and Perry is tied. Ron Paul and Michelle Bachmann are within the 4% margin of error, but this survey was taken August 17-18, and before a dramatic decline in support for president Obama at month's end.
Gallup Poll: Four Republican Presidential Candidates Competitive Against Obama - Daniel Doherty
Note that while his approval rating only declines from 43.6% on the 19th to 43% presently, his disapproval rate increased 2.1% in the same time frame for a 2.7% support shift in just twelve days.
RealClearPolitics - Election Other - President Obama Job Approval
Also note the two latest polls (Rasmussen, Gallup 8/30) both have president Obama under water by 15%.
The most commonly used examples of unpopular presidents who each won reelection (Reagan, Clinton) had strong economic growth and massive private sector hiring driving the upswing in their approval numbers. At the center of these strong economic recoveries was a very strong US dollar. In the case of Reagan, the US dollar hit its all time high in May of 1984. Without a strong dollar, full economic recovery becomes impossible. On the number one issue, jobs and the economy, a mere 26% of Americans approve of Obama's performance. That's too low to be elected anything, let alone president.
Some senior liberal voices have gotten the message and are now being heard to call for a primary challenger, and let's not forget Hillary is still a wild card. Apart from Obama, Democrats would be wise to learn from Bill Clinton's example and admit screwing up. Bubba did and it earned him a second term. Besides, there's no way to gloss over $4 trillion in new debt and 9.1% unemployment because no matter what you say, the numbers still speak for themselves. Furthermore, Obama can't run on not being Bush and accusing his opponent of being another Bush because after nearly three years of Obama, Bush looks pretty good. If that's all the ammo he's got, he's done. |
There's still a long ways to go....and let's step back and look at the big picture here.
Much of the disenchantment with Obama stems from his caving to Republican/business interests. The people remember well where we were in late 2008 and they were counting on Obama to boldly take charge and fight for average Americans. Most of his supporters feel majorly let down by his performance in that arena as, in that respect, he has been little different from Bush.
The point being that the
last thing the people want is a return to the disaster that the last Republican administration culminated with. Again I say that, as of today, I don't see the candidate that will beat Obama.
If it does end up being Romney or Perry, I'll very grudgingly give up my last shred of hope for America's future.
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