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No, the only chance actual third parties have is going after local and state offices, and then focusing on seats in the House and maybe the Senate, but the chance on winning a presidential election, no, it will probably never happen in our lifetime.
Location: Democratic Peoples Republic of Redneckistan
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It could be nice,but with the amount of money spent to buy elections these days it is next to zero chance that an independent could ever begin to pull it off...its all about fund raising and hiring the top of the food chain to run every aspect of your campaign...poor ol' John McCain had his ass handed to him for hiring idiots and running with idiots during his last try..that should be proof enough.
it can happen but its more likely to continue as it is. That ebign sadi one has to remmber that the two parties have factio withi the parties fightig for control of the paltforms i committees. For example the Clinton centralis loss powewr and committee control tot eh obma lfet in 2008.I the republican we se a simialr su truggle goig on betwen centralist and right of aprty.Even withi these their are others like Ron Paul or nader .They may leave the aprty to run like Nader or not like Paul.The rpoblem is that each party is a private organization;only mebers are actaul mmebr not general voters who elct representaive to the party conventiuon to compose the paltfor, Only real mebers get this representation ;not just aprty voters.So most just get to vote for a candia date who has to support eh platform really with no say i the paltform except what is approved and no real prority of it being address really;if at all.If one looks it was clear to see the priotiies of mnay presient's and the v congreeiona; leadership after gettigonto office. Obama and leadership had two clear years to get anyhting they wanted done startig in Jan 2009.
Yes. For example, we have already elected the Whig William Henry Harrison.
Parties can come and go. A party could easily break apart in the future as they have in the past like the Federalists and Whigs. The Republicans do have a bit of a unity problem as seen by the moderate wing that supported Romney and the more conservative wing that supported Santorum.
A few decades and I think we'll be able to have a independent candidate who wins, maybe even sooner. People are growing to become sick of either party (including myself), the thing about it is you can be independent in name only I.e. Bloomberg. As I said time and time again, I want to run for a congressional seat once I'm old enough and have the backing of the people too, but I want to run as a independent. So maybe I'll be everyone's first independent president.
No. The parties are incredibly adept at survival and at co-opting third party ideas and making them their own. Plus the two parties are swimming in donors and money. Much more than probably all the "thirds" put together. Put money up against no-money, money wins.
Yes. But it will first require one of the current parties to disintegrate.
The GOP would my prediction for the one that looks likely to do so.
No, they won't. The Republicans are going to have a civil war soon between the "establishment", the "religious fundies" and the "tea party" and the establishment is going to win it because that is what big business who funds the Republican Party wants. Then that party will move more to the left like it used to be under Eisenhower, Nixon and Ford. They are going to have to move left to survive because the country is moving leftward. Especially on social issues. There are not enough white male southerners to keep them in power and they have lost about every other demographic group in the country.
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