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Old 03-08-2014, 07:08 AM
 
Location: 500 miles from home
33,942 posts, read 22,532,112 times
Reputation: 25816

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Quote:
Originally Posted by cuebald View Post
Several posters in this forum have wondered the same thing out loud more than once. If the republican tent doesn't learn how to stretch far enough to attract minorities, women, and youth, it may be headed for irrelevancy at best, and extinction at worst.

Now empirical evidence is being gathered on the upcoming generation, and it seems that a large majority of them accept gays and abortions, have real friends of all races, and want marijuana legalized. They also support government-run social programs that provide for the welfare of all citizens.

The real question is, what will the republican party response be to these findings?


Is the Republican Party in danger of dying out?
I just read somewhere that the Millennial generation is the most racially diverse in American History.

So ~ the answer to your question is YES; if the Republican Party cannot find a way to broaden their base.
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Old 03-08-2014, 07:11 AM
 
Location: The Republic of Texas
78,863 posts, read 46,634,918 times
Reputation: 18521
Quote:
Originally Posted by urbanlife78 View Post
Reagan couldn't win a Republican primary today. Far right wingers don't get elected president because that isn't what America wants.

Guys like Romney win primaries after they get beaten up trying to pretend they are as far right wing as the other Republicans they are running against to make the far right wingers happy, only to have that come back and haunt them as they try to move back to the center in the general election.


I've heard of dead people voting, but winning elections? No, Reagan would not win today, unless it was Vacation at Bernie's.

So, you do understand why Romney flopped with Conservatives. There wasn't enough progressive republicans to pull him across the finish. The same thing happened with "I use to be a Democrat McCain".

You are not going to get conservative support as a Progressive.... Period.

When was the last time a far right winger, was elected to run for president?
The moderate progressive RINO's don't seem to be getting it done.




CPAC 2014 - U.S. Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) - YouTube
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Old 03-08-2014, 07:15 AM
 
Location: the very edge of the continent
89,029 posts, read 44,840,107 times
Reputation: 13715
Is the Republican Party in danger of dying out?

Yes, and this is why...

No-/low-income voters vote for Dems at a higher rate than any other income group:


Does Your Wage Predict Your Vote? - Derek Thompson - The Atlantic


Those no-/low-income earners are very likely to receive one or more forms of public assistance (SNAP, etc.). And those who receive public assistance have a birth rate 3 times higher than those who don't. Anyone who understands exponential functions will realize that as the numbers of those who need those social programs rise exponentially, comparatively, it will skyrocket the number of those who are no-/low-income, which is exactly the group that votes for Dems in the highest percentage.

Example using numbers: 1 million receiving public assistance, 1 million not receiving such, the latest published birth rate numbers for each group (halved because the rates were reported for women only), and the formula for predicting future population, future value = present value x (e)^kt, where e equals the constant 2.71828, k equals the rate of increase (expressed as a decimal), and t is the number of years.

After 20 years, the population of those not receiving public assistance will have grown from 1 million to 1.75 million.

After 20 years, the population of those who are no-/low-income, very likely needing public assistance, will have grown from 1 million to 4.953 million.

1.75 million taxpayers opposed to 4.953 million who have it in their best interest to vote for whoever promises them the most free stuff, aka Democrats.

Pandering to the poor has been a HUGELY successful strategy for Dems. It buys them the votes that keeps them in political power. And the population growth among the poor, as I've already shown, is exponentially outpacing the population of those who pay for the poor's public assistance benefits.

What many don't realize is that in order for this strategy to work for the Dems, by definition, it pulls the U.S. standard of living down as the population growth of the no-/low-income class exponentially outpaces the population growth of those who pay to support them.

If you don't understand the numbers by now, it's quite simple... Democrats keep as many people as poor as possible to acquire and keep political power.

The danger of the Dems' keep them poor strategy... When do we reach the tipping point at which those who pay for it can no longer sustain a gargantuan government assistance-dependent class?


Birth rate stats as reported by the U.S. Census, here:
//www.city-data.com/forum/32045595-post217.html

Youth From Low-Income Families Fact Sheet
Youth from Low-Income Families: Fact Sheet
Provides grim statistics.

Last edited by InformedConsent; 03-08-2014 at 07:29 AM..
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Old 03-08-2014, 07:17 AM
 
Location: Great State of Texas
86,052 posts, read 84,495,743 times
Reputation: 27720
As our standard of living continues to decline more people will vote for those who promise them more government subsidies and programs to keep up the pretense of living a middle class lifestyle.
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Old 03-08-2014, 07:20 AM
 
12 posts, read 18,936 times
Reputation: 17
Demo or repub does it matter anymore?this country is being driven to its knees be it either side by our own govt. If that's what you prefer to call it. There just sweeping the hen house before closing the.doors for the last time. How's the globalism working for ya?
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Old 03-08-2014, 07:20 AM
 
Location: 500 miles from home
33,942 posts, read 22,532,112 times
Reputation: 25816
A full 42% of the Millennial generation is non-white. So, again, the answer is YES, IF the Republican's can't figure out a way to broaden their base.

Mitch McConnell running around with an old rifle in his hand isn't going to do it. Wayne LaPierre's spitting anger - isn't going to do it. Ted Cruz's empty tirades aren't going to do it.
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Old 03-08-2014, 07:20 AM
 
Location: the very edge of the continent
89,029 posts, read 44,840,107 times
Reputation: 13715
Quote:
Originally Posted by HappyTexan View Post
As our standard of living continues to decline more people will vote for those who promise them more government subsidies and programs
Yep. I just explained the stats, numbers, and the inevitable unavoidable mathematical outcome in my post, above.
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Old 03-08-2014, 07:23 AM
 
59,086 posts, read 27,318,346 times
Reputation: 14285
Quote:
Originally Posted by cuebald View Post
Several posters in this forum have wondered the same thing out loud more than once. If the republican tent doesn't learn how to stretch far enough to attract minorities, women, and youth, it may be headed for irrelevancy at best, and extinction at worst.

Now empirical evidence is being gathered on the upcoming generation, and it seems that a large majority of them accept gays and abortions, have real friends of all races, and want marijuana legalized. They also support government-run social programs that provide for the welfare of all citizens.

The real question is, what will the republican party response be to these findings?


Is the Republican Party in danger of dying out?
"Now empirical evidence is being gathered on the upcoming generation,' Some reports ay differently.

As the dem party goes further left, the repubs will pick up supporters.
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Old 03-08-2014, 07:28 AM
 
Location: Houston
5,995 posts, read 3,734,817 times
Reputation: 4162
Quote:
Originally Posted by BentBow View Post
When was the last time a far right winger, was elected to run for president?

The moderate progressive RINO's don't seem to be getting it done.


Reagan was the last Republican that was farther to the right, than anything we have seen since.




CPAC 2014 - U.S. Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) - YouTube
People don't want a president who is too far to the right or left. That's what the republican party simply can't comprehend. They seem to think that pushing farther into the territory of the extreme right wing radicals will win them votes with the general populace. They couldn't be more wrong but who am I to complain? It's doing wonders for the opposition.
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Old 03-08-2014, 07:31 AM
 
7,413 posts, read 6,230,000 times
Reputation: 6665
The Republican Party is not endangered. The members just have to continue morphing into liberals so they can get the crazy vote. Common sense is what is dying out.
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