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As long as the Democrats, media, Rinos, bureaucrats, NAACP, NOW, SPLC, LGBT, foreign enemies, North Korea, FBI, Environmentalists, Homosexuals and the View continue to hate Trump .... he will win any election.
In the fall, Morning Consult released the results of their aggregate 2017 Trump Approval Poll interviews by state. Now Gallup has done the same thing. In the attached article you can find their average Trump approval for every state. The national average was 38% with the high being West Virginia at 61% and Vermont the lowest at 26%. Trump approval was over 50% in three states where Democratic Senators are seeking re-election; Montana, North Dakota and West Virginia.
Pretty much identical to the demography during the 2016 election. It's those medium green states that he has to worry about in the mid terms. Because, some Trump approvers may very well vote for a Democratic Congressperson. People are starting to understand the risk of putting all their eggs in one basket. And starting to understand the purpose and value of a system with checks and balances. That is one thing that Trump has illustrated very clearly.
no doubt those numbers are not positive news for trump, bureaucat. the midterms could result in a shift to democrats, especially in the house. dem voters are fired up more than republican voters, too.
but, trump's countrywide approval numbers are never going to be high due to populous, progressive states that give him very low scores.
That’s true. If you’re losing Cali and New York by 2-1, your national average will tank unless it’s counter-balanced by 2-1 odds in your favor in other big states like Florida and Texas, and at least in 2017, he was underwater there too.
after watching this msnbc video above, based on polling just three months before the 2016 presidential election which showed Hillary with a 10 point lead over trump and an anticipated landslide win by clinton, it is clear things can change quickly in this country. she obviously lost the election.
polls aren't predictive of outcomes. at best, polls may reflect a snapshot in time.
"The accuracy of a poll depends on how it was conducted. Most of Pew Research’s polling is done by telephone. By contrast, most online polls that use participants who volunteer to take part do not have a proven record of accuracy. There are at least two reasons for this. One is that not everyone in the U.S. uses the internet, and those who do not are demographically different from the rest of the public. Another reason is that people who volunteer for polls may be different from other people in ways that could make the poll unrepresentative. At worst, online polls can be seriously biased if people who hold a particular point of view are more motivated to participate than those with a different point of view."
So, this poll, although providing warm fuzzies for the anti-Trumps is most likely worthless. It would do those good that constantly post polls to actually learn a little about how polls/surveys work, what makes them more or less accurate, etc.
I think this may give false hope, just like the polls that said Hillary would be elected POTUS. The continuing disaster encompassing those that supported Hillary, and are unable to heal their wounds from her loss, when they were "promised" she would win...........
Morning Consult is an on-line Poll; Gallup isn’t. The methodologies are completely different, but the results are similar. It isn’t necessarily predictive of the future and attitudes may change as we get deeper into his term, but it is fair to say that regardless of the polls and methodology used, Trump’s approval ratings in 2017 set new record lows for the first year of an elected President over the past 64 years.
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