Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
View Poll Results: Do you think China and/or Russia will invade the US in the aftermath of a new civil war ?
Yes 15 19.74%
No 54 71.05%
Other/Don't Know 7 9.21%
Voters: 76. You may not vote on this poll

Closed Thread Start New Thread
 
Old 10-10-2020, 09:40 AM
 
20,730 posts, read 19,398,885 times
Reputation: 8296

Advertisements

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lionel Fauquier View Post
I most certainly appreciate every post which has a bit of substance , including his , what I don't appreciate is the arrogant writing style this fellow uses as well as his unsubstantiated claim of having planned combat operations in Panama and Iraq .

I guess you can't appreciate that he substantiated it with a long list of considerations reflective of having knowledge of the subject. He did not argue by authority as you claim. I have had several encounters with him where we disagreed. To arrogance delivered with substance I say bring it on. I just fired back with my own substances.





Quote:
Furthermore the scope of this discussion has moved far beyond the scenario of a simple conventional invasion , a thing which he most certainly could have commented on as well , but I digress .



I saw someone quote that wise people learn more from their enemies than idiots do from their friends.



Take your seat among the two options as you see fit.

 
Old 10-10-2020, 09:46 AM
 
5,341 posts, read 6,532,664 times
Reputation: 6107
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lionel Fauquier View Post
All that said I'm starting up this topic because I'm curious to see the consensus that exists regarding it here , especially among those who consider their rivals on the opposite side of the spectrum to be the real danger to this country .
Nothing is impossible
https://halturnerradioshow.com/index...ada-invade-usa
 
Old 10-10-2020, 09:52 AM
 
Location: Franklin County PA
724 posts, read 505,209 times
Reputation: 346
Quote:
Originally Posted by gwynedd1 View Post
I guess you can't appreciate that he substantiated it with a long list of considerations reflective of having knowledge of the subject. He did not argue by authority as you claim. I have had several encounters with him where we disagreed. To arrogance delivered with substance I say bring it on. I just fired back with my own substances.










I saw someone quote that wise people learn more from their enemies than idiots do from their friends.



Take your seat among the two options as you see fit.

I'm not claiming that he argued from a position of authority , merely that he did so in an arrogant manner in an irrelevant way to boot , since this thread doesn't concern military science as it relates to conventional military invasions .

Lol I may come across as hostile by typing this ( which isn't my intention at all ) , but since we're doing quotes I may as well use one said by a respected member ( and ex combat veteran ) of the motorcycle club I used to hang around as a teenager ...

Which is " Even if you're right about something , you're still gonna get a fist to your face if you say it to the wrong person in a smartass way " .

In short humility always matters , even if one does indeed happen to be a wise Wallachian Voivode .

P.S. Bonus rep points for anyone who gets that , intended in a friendly way , reference I put in at the end .
 
Old 10-10-2020, 10:47 AM
 
Location: NW Nevada
18,161 posts, read 15,657,856 times
Reputation: 17153
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lionel Fauquier View Post
I'd like to begin by stating that it isn't at all my intention to stoke the flames of paranoia , on the contrary my intention is quite the opposite , albeit admittedly in a somewhat ominous " the Grinch will get you if don't behave " sort of way .

That said I must say that sort of message may well have its uses , since the usual sort of " play nice kids " type one has limited uses when applied to adults and in the current climate can well make one seem like a laughingstock .

All that said I'm starting up this topic because I'm curious to see the consensus that exists regarding it here , especially among those who consider their rivals on the opposite side of the spectrum to be the real danger to this country .

Because if we keep on fighting each other , then we may very well find ourselves with a much bigger enemy on our backs .
China would send troops to support the leftist side in a US civil conflict. And they would be welcomed with open arms. It wouldnt be an invasion. It would be a support operation.

The Russians? I don't think they would get involved. They would let China get bogged down, which they would, and then attack them. The Russians and Chinese hate each other. I dont know as the Russians would back one side or the other like the Chinese would back the leftists here.

They might let the Chinese get beat on for a bit, because they would be taking heavy losses here. The US military would not fight alongside the ChiComs against their own countrymen. Twixt them and the Militia numbers they would get bogged down out if the gate.

Hell, they'd play hell getting troops, equipment and supplies in. The Dems and their leftist sycophants couldn't pull that off even if they actually did sweep the election. Could they maybe count in UN forces? Maybe.

But UN troops would still get roasted pretty well done and crispy. It's all pretty far fetched. Possible but idk about probable. Still, these are strange times.
 
Old 10-10-2020, 11:02 AM
 
Location: 404
3,006 posts, read 1,498,898 times
Reputation: 2604
Russia is a former empire. The US is a declining empire. China is a rising empire.

As fuel prices rise, typhoons batter islands, and distant Pacific islands become too expensive to keep, the US may abandon or sell them before China gets around to invading. Hawaii is significant by having elevation above the highest possibility of sea level rise. On the mainland, the southwest US is becoming drier and less habitable. Calfornia will lose food production when the Central Valley becomes a sea, or sooner if irrigation dries up. China may eventually see some food value in Alaska and Canada, but there's not much else worth an invasion on the west coast.
 
Old 10-10-2020, 11:16 AM
 
4,676 posts, read 1,964,844 times
Reputation: 4679
today it is about wealth, power and influence not land. There is no purpose for either Nation to invade us. Manipulate and control to reform us in their own image and take the wealth we generate, yes. Invasion by outside forces is virtually impossible given our location in the World and the armed populace. its a pipe dream used by fear mongers and wana be heroes. Economic dominance and influence, now that is a very real possibility, especially with China. Ironically(and i am sure they laugh about this)its funded by our money buying their junk. We are basically paying for the end of our own society.
 
Old 10-10-2020, 11:38 AM
 
Location: NW Nevada
18,161 posts, read 15,657,856 times
Reputation: 17153
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nattering Heights View Post
Russia is a former empire. The US is a declining empire. China is a rising empire.

As fuel prices rise, typhoons batter islands, and distant Pacific islands become too expensive to keep, the US may abandon or sell them before China gets around to invading. Hawaii is significant by having elevation above the highest possibility of sea level rise. On the mainland, the southwest US is becoming drier and less habitable. Calfornia will lose food production when the Central Valley becomes a sea, or sooner if irrigation dries up. China may eventually see some food value in Alaska and Canada, but there's not much else worth an invasion on the west coast.
Speaking as an intermountain West rural dweller you are somewhat correct as to the water situation. Large farming irrigation is taking a beating with this damn dry weather. I'm a desert dweller. Dry is kinda how it is. But not this dry. Last Winter here in N NV was like having 6 months if mild Spring temps with zero precip. It sucked.

Then we went straight into a hot dry Summer that's lasted from early May till today as I write this. Its cooler thank Gid with a slight but improbable chance of rain. Winter looks grim for getting a snowpack. Historically through my life here when the weather has been like this going I to the Winter months cold and bone a$$ dry is the outlook.

Never know about the Winter weather here though. This is NV. If you dont like the weather wait 10 minutes. See what you get then. But over the decades since I was a Shaver the weather has gotten a bit more predictable if you know how to read the signs.

If we dont have big Winter storms over the holiday period well be choking on dust next Spring and Summer. If there is such a thing as Spring. Autumn really hasn't existed this year.
 
Old 10-10-2020, 11:40 AM
 
8,959 posts, read 2,568,200 times
Reputation: 4727
Russia, no.

China, yes.

Then again, that may be what our friends on the left have in mind
 
Old 10-10-2020, 02:40 PM
 
Location: Ohio
24,621 posts, read 19,202,765 times
Reputation: 21745
Quote:
Originally Posted by naicha View Post
I remember reading Red Storm Rising ,..by Tom Clancy . Reminds me of this.
Clancy is a joke. Red Storm Rising is a bigger joke and a totally implausible scenario.

Clancy wrote it using a 100% US perspective and based on a false narrative pushed by the Brookings Institute.

And even that wouldn't be so bad, except that the scenario is believable, if, and only if, US military officers were commanding Soviet military units.

Do US general officers command Soviet military units?

Nope.

Clancy and the Brookings Institute were so stupid they didn't understand that Soviet war-fighting style was different than US war-fighting style.

The US and Britain fought Western-style: grind out ground, hold, reinforce, push on to grind out more ground, hold, reinforce, push on....ad nauseum.

Soviet-style is vastly different and superior to Western-style.

That is not my opinion, rather it is the opinion of the US Army who abandoned Western-style and adopted Soviet-style.

While most of you were in diapers or not even born yet, I was at TRADOC Headquarters writing doctrine on AirLand Battle 2000 which is Soviet-style war-fighting. US divisions were reorganized and there was a total reorganization of field artillery in order to fight Soviet-style. That's why you have the Abrams and Bradleys and the MRLS.

So, how stupid is Clancy?

Why Brookings?

Well, Reagan ran on a platform of increasing the military and not by just a few, by doubling its size.

The Liberals did not want that to happen so they enlisted the aid of the Brookings Institute to construct a false narrative in an attempt to defeat Reagan's well-crafted arguments.

According to the Brookings Institute and the moron Clancy, the Soviets are going to sit there and twiddle their thumbs as the US brings over the 1st Calvary Division, the remaining brigades and NG round-brigade for 1st Infantry (a forward brigade was in VII Corps), the remaining brigades and NG round-outs for 2nd Armored (a forward brigade was in NORTHAG), the remaining brigades and NG round-outs for 4th Infantry (a forward brigade was in V Corps), the 5th Mech, the 7th Infantry, the 9th Infantry, the 10th Mountain, the 24th Mech, the 82nd Airborne, the 101st Airborne, the 6th Air Attack Brigade, the 3rd CAV, and all of the reserve infantry brigades.

Right?

Wrong. Never gonna happen.

You don't need to know that Soviet military doctrine is based on surprise and speed. You just need to recognize that the best defense is a good offense and the Soviets would have attacked -- and won -- long before those units arrive to reinforce NATO.

While the US is preparing those units for movement, Army General Zhelnin would have the Northern Front of the Group of Soviet Forces Germany sweeping across northern Germany.

You know him, right? Well, I guess you don't, but I do.

What about Iceland and Scandinavia? Who cares? The Soviets did not care at all.

When General Zhelnin's massive front, which had the 10th and 16th Combined Arms Armies, the 7th, 11th, 46th and 51st Guards Tank Armies and the 7th Airborne Rifle Division, goes racing across northern Germany they'll sever Denmark and Norway at the Jutland Peninsula. Seeing how both countries had Socialist leftist governments, it's quite likely they'd Welsh on their deal with NATO and do nothing.

They couldn't do much anyway. Their tiny little armies are defensive, not offensive.

Lieutenant General Yesipov, who command the 7th Airborne Rifles was a pretty funny guy. I was with my bosses at some shindig in the MDW and he asked me if I was airborne qualified. I told him I had a preference for staying on Earth. He thought that was funny and was telling me some funny stories from earlier in his career.

So, the 7th Airborne drops in on Bremerhaven and links up with, if I remember right, the 16th CAA and the 51st GTA.

The US just lost a critical port and cannot reinforce Germany using that port.

Why is a forward brigade of 2nd Armored under British command in NORTHAG?

Because the Brits and the Germans never trust the Dutch or the miserable fat Belgian bastards.

Dutch Army is an oxymoron. It's unionized, they don't work more than 35 hours a week or 8 hours a day, without overtime pay, so they never train, except during REFORGER when American tax-payers foot the overtime bill for the Dutch (it was actually Carter who approved of basing a forward brigade in NORTHAG).

If the Socialist government in the Netherlands reneges on NATO or 10th CAA, 7th, 11th or 46th GTAs get to Rotterdam or Amsterdam, you just lost two more critical ports.

Hell, they wouldn't even have to seize the ports, they'd just have to be in the vicinity.

If the Socialist left-leaning government of the miserable fat Belgian bastards Welsh on NATO, you just lost Antwerp.

And the French? They are politically involved in NATO, but not militarily. Regardless of the political persuasions of the French government, they're likely to sit back and watch, because the French are stuck on themselves.

So, now what?

You still got the ports in Spain, but you're not gonna be able to move troops, vehicles and equipment through Neutral France or Neutral Switzerland to reinforce Germany.

You lose.

Oh, back to the ports. US ballistic missile systems have nuclear warheads only. No conventional warheads (except for the Nike-Hercules).

B-b-b-b-but Cruise Missiles.

Cruise missiles are non-ballistic, but none of that matters, because only RAF Greenham Common was operational and they did not yet have conventional warheads.

What about the other bases? The base in Germany never became operational. The nuclear warheads were delivered (I did that) but no launchers or missiles. Same with Comiso (in Italy, I did that, too). The bases in the Netherlands and Belgium had launchers and troops, but no missiles or warheads.

No conventional warheads for the Pershing II, Pershing IA or Lance.

On the other hand, Soviet missile systems have both conventional and nuclear capability.

The SS-20 had three 60 kt nuclear warheads or three 3,000 lb conventional warheads.

Either way, the SS-20s would damage the ports, rendering them unusable or in the best case scenario, severely restricted use.

What about NATO's air force?

Wouldn't exist.

The SS-20 is MRV, not a MIRV. Think of it as a nuclear shot-gun. The MRV platform arrives over the target and dumps the warheads out.

What do you suppose would happen if six SS-20s dumped over Hahn Air Base at 4:00 AM on Tuesday morning?

B-b-b-b-but the aircraft are in reveted hardstands.

Spot on. You're absolutely right.

But you don't have to damage or destroy an aircraft to render nonoperational. What else can you do?

Dead pilots cannot fly. Pilots in the BOQ or base housing would be dead.

Or wounded. Wounded pilots can't fly, either. Even if you stitch them up, the G-forces will cause them to bleed out and they'll lose consciousness and crash and then you really have lost an aircraft.

Oh, and those reveted hardstands? Aircraft and ordnance are vital to national security and so the 2-Man Rule applies.

There isn't one lock on the doors, there are two locks. We called ours Red and Yellow, but the Air Force calls theirs A and B.

You need an A-Key holder and a B-Key holder to retrieve the keys from a safe, which the 2-Man Rule also applies, so, yes, there are two separate combination locks on the safe.

For obvious security reasons, the key holders do not know the combinations.

There's maybe 8-12 people who know at least one combination. If they're dead or immobile, you're not gonna be able to open the safes. And the locks? They're designed to withstand incredible force, so you're not gonna be able to shoot them open.

And the non-ballistic missiles. The Soviets never had cruise missiles until Clinton gave them two Cray Super II computers, because that's what you need to build cruise missiles.

The BGM-109G, the Tomahawks and ALCMs have satellite telemetry, forward and downward looking radars, and can make course corrections, including changes in altitude while in-flight. They can also be re-directed.

The Kingfish and other Soviet non-ballistic missiles cruise at a fixed altitude that's programmed just before launch. The Kingfish will usually fly at 2-6 km in altitude and then once over the target, dive on it.

The Soviets would launch 100s of those at ports and US, British and German air bases.

Oh, and the vaunted Fulda Gap that Clancy raves about?

That's a big nothing-burger. You wanna know what would have happened at the Fulda Gap?

Absolutely nothing would happen very slowly.

When Army General Zehlnin moves the Northern Front to sweep across the flat plains of northern Germany, the Central Front, commanded by Army General Zgerskiy will move into the Northern Front's zone, into northern Germany and then sweep south to the US V Corps. That would be the 2nd, 14th and 23rd Combined Arms Armies, the 20th Tank Army and the 14th Airborne Rifle Division. Then, then Southern Front, commanded by Army General Komarov will move up to occupy the zone were the Central Front was (the 4th, 12th and 24th Combined Arms Armies and the 8th Guards Tank Army, plus the 4th Airborne Rifle Division) and then the Group of Soviet Forces Czechoslovakia would move up to occupy the Southern Front's zone. Don't forget the East German army would be moving with them.

So, the Fulda Gap plays no role.

Only an American officer trained in Western-style war-fighting would even think the Fulda Gap has an iota of importance.

That's how it would have played out, not the nonsense proffered by Clancy and the Brookings Institute.

The scenario they offer is exactly how a US General trained and educated in Western-style warfare would do it.

However, as I pointed out, US Generals do not command Soviet forces.
 
Old 10-10-2020, 02:59 PM
 
Location: Ohio
24,621 posts, read 19,202,765 times
Reputation: 21745
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lionel Fauquier View Post
There's absolutely no need for the sort of arrogant tone your post seems to be conveying , but I appreciate your reply regardless .
The arrogant one is the one who wrongly assumes the Chinese or Russians could possibly attack in the first place.

A less arrogant person would have polled: Do you believe China or Russia could attack?

Are you aware that the overwhelming vast majority of States, about 160 of them, are totally incapable of conducting offensive operations for sustained periods more than 50-100 km from their own border?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lionel Fauquier View Post
P.S. No offense , but claiming to have bona fide military credentials on an essentially anonymous forum such as this means absolutely jack squat .
Uh-huh.

10-09-2011, 10:41 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mircea View Post
I had a chance to go to Iraq as a military advisor in 1984 during the Iraq-Iran War, but went to Egypt to train troops instead.
Quote:
How the U.S. helped Saddam Hussein use chemical weapons against Iran - The Week
How the U.S. helped Saddam Hussein use chemical weapons against Iran

Washington is apparently ready to punish Syria for using poison gas, but a generation ago the calculus was different

By Harold Maass | August 26, 2013

The U.S.'s role in the Iraq-Iran war was greater than previously believed.


How do you think I knew -- 2 years before it became public knowledge -- that there were US military advisors in Iraq?

I was 6 weeks in Egypt. I got to see a pyramid but not The Pyramid, but in retrospect, I'm glad because the pyramid I saw was built by Khufu's son.

I taught RACO to Egyptian army officers and senior NCOs. We did 2 weeks of classroom instruction, then 2 weeks classroom in the mornings and in the field in the afternoons and finally 2 weeks in the field.

I taught the Egyptians how and why the Israelis bested them in the 1973 Yom Kippur War.

Why? Because that's what my bosses told me to do.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.



All times are GMT -6.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top