Quote:
Originally Posted by galaxyhi
I'm also pretty much sure Putin picked the easiest way to "poke the bear" that is USA, by making this maneuver, knowing/thinking he can draw USA into his war..aka WWIII, and he can then blame the USA, and Biden, McConnell, pelosis for it.
What do you guys think?
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You have it all wrong. The US poked Russia.
I get that Global Geo-Political Strategy weirds people out. It's like a chess match in every way, but the vast majority of people don't understand chess or suck at it.
The end-game of chess is to mate your opponents king. The end-game of US Geo-Strategy is control of the eastern Russian republics.
I did not create this strategy (but I know who did) and I worked on and contributed to it. It's ironic, but Ford and Trump are the only two Presidents who never did anything to further The Plan®.
Bush did his part by creating the situation to invade Iraq and then maintain a US military presence indefinitely until a better opportunity came to strike (and that was 9-11.)
Clinton, Bush, and Obama did their part, which was driving Russia out of the Mediterranean to pen them up in the Black Sea, Clinton first by carving up Yugoslavia, and then Bush and Obama by bankrolling "pro-Democracy" groups to instigate Arab Spring and then Obama by bombing Libya and illegally over-throwing the Libyan and Tunisian governments to deny Russia access to ports and forward operating airbases.
The only sticking point is Syria, which doesn't offer much in the way of naval ports, but Russia could potentially base fighters and bombers there to defend itself.
Bush did his part by invading Iraq and Afghanistan in preparation for Iran.
Bush also illegally overthrew the Ukrainian government in 2004.
If you are capable of understanding that, then you'll understand why Russia took Crimea.
The US/NATO will enforce the No-Fly Zone over Russia from airbases in Romania, Bulgaria and Turkey (plus Central Asia).
Russian control of Crimea allows Russian surface groups, which are excellent anti-ship/anti-air platforms to blast US/NATO aircraft out of the sky launching from Romania, Bulgaria, and Turkey en route to Russia, plus the SAM sites in Crimea will do the same.
That is why US control of Ukraine is absolutely critical to the success of US Geo-Strategy.
If Belarus and Ukraine are neutral, then the US/NATO cannot violate Belorussian or Ukrainian air-space and must rely solely on the airbases in Romania, Bulgaria and Turkey, as well as air bases in Central Asia (mostly Kazakhstan) to enforce the No-Fly Zone over Russia.
The Russians know that which is why they are in Ukraine.
It's self-defense, not expansionism.
The US/NATO are the bullies/aggressors, not Russia. Russia is just trying to defend itself.
I would suggest this thing with Afghanistan accelerated Russian action.
This thing with Afghanistan was not, um, "sudden."
That was planned. The nuclear angle with Iran has failed spectacularly.
The US is not gonna be able to use Iranian nukes as a pretext to invade Iran.
That's probably the real reason the US withdrew "suddenly" from Afghanistan.
I would say within the next 5-6 years look for a false flag event where the US accuses Iran and the Taliban of working together and uses that as a pretext to invade Iran.
Russia probably realized that and moved now, because Russian involvement in Ukraine will delay the false flag event for the duration of the action in Ukraine and some time afterward.
A neutral Ukraine will also accelerate the US invasion of Iran so it can press its hegemony on Central Asia and gain control, but that will take time and Russia (and China and India) know that which makes it more likely the US will fail.
You can see from this map how the US has driven Russia out of the Mediterranean. Red is the US/NATO, and orange is what the US/NATO wants to control.
The Ural Mountains are what divides eastern Russian from Russia-proper.
Watch what happens.