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Old 07-01-2022, 11:54 AM
 
Location: A Beautiful DEEP RED State
5,632 posts, read 1,769,865 times
Reputation: 3902

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So the second quarter is now in the books. The first quarter saw a negative GDP and an increasing number of analysts are stating they feel the second quarter will show a negative GDP when reported later this month. If they are correct, that would mean we are in a recession right now. If not, they are stating the odds are increasing that we will have one in the second half.

Are We Already In A Recession? Yes, According To Fed Indicator With ‘Excellent’ Track Record

"The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow model on Thursday projected the U.S. economy shrank 1% in the second quarter, slipping into negative territory after economic data showed consumer spending dropped in May, while domestic investments, another component of GDP growth, also fell."

2022 recession will most likely happen
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Old 07-05-2022, 10:35 AM
 
Location: A Beautiful DEEP RED State
5,632 posts, read 1,769,865 times
Reputation: 3902
Another warning sign.

Bonds flash recession warning light as key part of the yield curve inverts again
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Old 07-05-2022, 10:37 AM
 
Location: NMB, SC
43,125 posts, read 18,290,317 times
Reputation: 34995
But Yellen says there will be NO RECESSION.

That is government speak for "this is going to be a bad one".

Tech layoffs are pretty big...45K so far in 2022...more than double than all of 2020.

https://modernrecruiters.com/tech-layoffs/
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Old 07-05-2022, 10:39 AM
 
1,213 posts, read 568,437 times
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Recession? We’re goddam headed for a depression.
Then the democrats will blame it on the republicans after they sweep November.
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Old 07-05-2022, 10:44 AM
 
Location: Cape Cod
24,502 posts, read 17,245,671 times
Reputation: 35799
Recession... Is there anything that Putin can't do? How are those sanctions working out?



I'm waiting for the Biden people to start presenting the numbers in a different way to make it not look so bad. My idea of selling gas at half gallon units which would make us all think we were getting a deal at only $2.50 never really caught on.
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Old 07-05-2022, 10:46 AM
 
10,106 posts, read 7,775,270 times
Reputation: 8596
Quote:
Originally Posted by TMSRetired View Post
But Yellen says there will be NO RECESSION.

That is government speak for "this is going to be a bad one".

Tech layoffs are pretty big...45K so far in 2022...more than double than all of 2020.

https://modernrecruiters.com/tech-layoffs/
Yes, anything the government says, believe the opposite. They live in opposite world.
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Old 07-05-2022, 11:17 AM
 
Location: Beautiful NNJ
1,280 posts, read 1,421,433 times
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I wish the media would shut the eff up and stop reporting every little comment some economist makes about the rises and falls and predictions thereof. We are coming out of an unprecedented global pandemic that upset literally every aspect of our economy, including global supply chains, labor, real estate etc. etc. Why should anyone be surprised that we’re going to be on a roller coaster for a while? Tech layoffs are happening because during the pandemic tech companies exploded and had to hire huge numbers of people to keep up with demand. That couldn’t last, so there is now a reduction in that workforce. Same will happen with real estate as the market adjusts.
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Old 07-05-2022, 11:19 AM
 
Location: NMB, SC
43,125 posts, read 18,290,317 times
Reputation: 34995
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanderling View Post
I wish the media would shut the eff up and stop reporting every little comment some economist makes about the rises and falls and predictions thereof. We are coming out of an unprecedented global pandemic that upset literally every aspect of our economy, including global supply chains, labor, real estate etc. etc. Why should anyone be surprised that we’re going to be on a roller coaster for a while? Tech layoffs are happening because during the pandemic tech companies exploded and had to hire huge numbers of people to keep up with demand. That couldn’t last, so there is now a reduction in that workforce. Same will happen with real estate as the market adjusts.
This is 2022...you can't use "pandemic" as an excuse for the next decade.

2020 and 2021 were the "pandemic years".
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Old 07-05-2022, 11:22 AM
 
Location: Beautiful NNJ
1,280 posts, read 1,421,433 times
Reputation: 1728
Quote:
Originally Posted by TMSRetired View Post
This is 2022...you can't use "pandemic" as an excuse for the next decade.

2020 and 2021 were the "pandemic years".
True, but as we know the economy does not turn on a dime. We’ve never experienced the upheaval caused by the pandemic (which is NOT over) so we don’t have any way to perfectly predict the aftermath. Things will be rocky for a while in places we may not have expected, especially with a labor force that is starting to feel its power again.
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Old 07-05-2022, 11:23 AM
 
Location: Ontario, Canada
462 posts, read 286,613 times
Reputation: 1298
Quote:
Originally Posted by TMSRetired View Post
This is 2022...you can't use "pandemic" as an excuse for the next decade.

2020 and 2021 were the "pandemic years".
Why not....."But Trump" has been playing pretty well.
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