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Old 12-09-2022, 01:59 PM
 
Location: Unperson Everyman Land
38,642 posts, read 26,384,037 times
Reputation: 12648

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Quote:
Originally Posted by DannyHobkins View Post
It looks like a dead cat bounce.


It looks like a Rasmussen anomaly.


RCP has Biden at 41.9% approval.


https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...val-7320.html#!



FTR, Trump was at 44.3% on December 9th, 2018.


https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...val-6179.html#!
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Old 12-09-2022, 02:00 PM
 
5,935 posts, read 2,760,378 times
Reputation: 3441
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
Biden's approval rating on Rasmussen's daily tracker turned positive today for the first time in many, many months. It was down in the 30s not that long ago. Inflation is clearly letting up and the economy remains strong for now with robust employment numbers and pay increases finally showing up in paychecks.

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...08?fullbrowser
38% approval as of 12/7/2022. RCP aggregate is 41.9%. Nice try.

https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/news-pol...acker-12072022

Even CNBC has Joe polling at 41%.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/09/majo...vey-shows.html

"Inflation is clearly letting up" after a historic 2 consecutive year rise in inflation! Consumer prices are up over 20% since Joe took office. Let's not try to lie and mislead people.
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Old 12-09-2022, 02:02 PM
 
18,548 posts, read 15,586,958 times
Reputation: 16235
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mathguy View Post
Ok, math time.

The poll is +/-2.5% at 95% probability.

Which means that at 99% probability etc. it's perhaps more like 5% off.

When you take a daily poll, that's 365 or more opportunities each year for the poll results to be off by a significant amount in either direction.

So, hanging ones hat on a lone daily poll result is not scientific nor sensible.

It would appear that based upon months worth of polls that Biden is more popular than he was, which is not hard considering he's been extremely low.
Yep, you explained it quite well. This is an issue that comes up any time there is multiple hypothesis testing, whether it is used for science or politics.
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Old 12-09-2022, 02:08 PM
 
5,935 posts, read 2,760,378 times
Reputation: 3441
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mathguy View Post
Ok, math time.

The poll is +/-2.5% at 95% probability.

Which means that at 99% probability etc. it's perhaps more like 5% off.

When you take a daily poll, that's 365 or more opportunities each year for the poll results to be off by a significant amount in either direction.

So, hanging ones hat on a lone daily poll result is not scientific nor sensible.

It would appear that based upon months worth of polls that Biden is more popular than he was, which is not hard considering he's been extremely low.
That's cool and all, but the WOKE want to know, do you believe that 2+2 = 5?

Remember, Math is Racist (from CNN 2016).
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Old 12-09-2022, 02:11 PM
 
Location: Oklahoma
17,797 posts, read 13,698,337 times
Reputation: 17831
Quote:
Originally Posted by jacqueg View Post
Please explain how Biden is responsible for inflation and gas prices, in, say, Canada or France.

Many people have noticed that these are global problems, and not just US problems under the control of the president.

You are evidently not one of those folks.
That is what is hilarious about Righties. We'd be in the same spot even if Trump were in office and every Rightie would be blaming it on the Pandemic.

With Biden in office they are like... Pandemic? What Pandemic?

It is solely on Creepy Joe.
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Old 12-09-2022, 02:15 PM
 
Location: Cali
14,229 posts, read 4,593,980 times
Reputation: 8321
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddie gein View Post
That is what is hilarious about Righties. We'd be in the same spot even if Trump were in office and every Rightie would be blaming it on the Pandemic.

With Biden in office they are like... Pandemic? What Pandemic?

It is solely on Creepy Joe.
Leftists/Biden in 2020
‘The adults are back in charge”
“Whoever is the President of US, the responsibility is total”
“I will not blame anybody when I am President”
“The buck stops here”
“Build back better”


Leftists/Biden in 2022
“But but but Biden is never responsible for anything, what about Trump?”
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Old 12-09-2022, 02:30 PM
 
5,935 posts, read 2,760,378 times
Reputation: 3441
Quote:
Originally Posted by Du Ma View Post
Leftists/Biden in 2022
“But but but Biden is never responsible for anything, what about Trump?”
At least they stopped blaming GWB by now. Remember when Obama was in office for years, everything that went bad was because of "Dubya".

So, I wonder how long can we blame Biden for the economic calamity that's coming? 5 years? 10 years?
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Old 12-09-2022, 02:52 PM
 
6,344 posts, read 2,898,603 times
Reputation: 7282
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
I think Biden's resurgence in the polls is not that Republicans are warming to him, but that Democrats are.
Gas went down 20 cents in my city today. That helps. I still think Slow Joe is a pedo race baiting a-hole though and needs the bums rush..
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Old 12-09-2022, 02:55 PM
 
1,026 posts, read 447,593 times
Reputation: 686
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
Biden's approval rating on Rasmussen's daily tracker turned positive today for the first time in many, many months. It was down in the 30s not that long ago. Inflation is clearly letting up and the economy remains strong for now with robust employment numbers and pay increases finally showing up in paychecks.

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...08?fullbrowser
A Rasmussen poll?
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Old 12-09-2022, 04:09 PM
 
Location: Where there is too much snow!
7,685 posts, read 13,144,504 times
Reputation: 4376
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
It is not a BS article. It's a daily poll. It is what it is. It is the Rassmussen tracking poll result from today. They have been running this throughout the Biden presidency. This is just today's number and it is positive for Biden for the first time since 7/21.

If it gives comfort, most polls (well all of them I have seen) still have Biden south of 50%, though he has been creeping up since early fall in all of them.
More like hes still Creepy sleepy sippy-cup bunker dwelling pedo Joe and hes a disgrace to our country surpassing the idiot Jimmy Carter.
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