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Old 10-29-2018, 03:35 PM
 
21,944 posts, read 9,513,063 times
Reputation: 19473

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Quote:
Originally Posted by BoBromhal View Post
Not considering anything but the 2 big tickets - IRS taxes, and the SALT.

the 2017 IRS info:

39.6% on amounts over $470,700

the 2018 IRS info:

37% on amounts over $600,000


so, for 2017: $2,000,000 - $470,700 = 1,529,300 x 39.6% = $605,600

for 2018 it will be: $2,000,000 - $600K = 1,400,000 x 37% = 518,000

so..... you'll pay $87,600 less on the rate, but $37,000 more from losing a deduction. You'll come out 50K ahead.

That's certainly a bit simplified, but it's also why I've said before that we'll have to wait until folks actually file taxes. And why I say that emotionally, the only thing people can process is the $37K you're looking at.
I don't disagree with you. And it might not be as big given we often get hit with AMT. It's hard to calculate until you open up Turbo Tax in 2018. There are other factors, like losing the personal exemptions.

But I imagine others are doing the same thing we are, taking a wait and see approach. But I know in Illinois, the ONLY option is higher taxes. It would be shocking if the one who is campaigning on raising taxes doesn't win.
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Old 10-29-2018, 03:36 PM
 
21,944 posts, read 9,513,063 times
Reputation: 19473
Quote:
Originally Posted by BoBromhal View Post
this morning, i got an email from Redfin, a market update. Sales in September had SLUMPED 4.6%. I don't think that's the right word for that change in activity.

Once I actually read, they also reported prices were only up 2.1% since last year. They blamed THIS on the double-digit unit sales drop in the most expensive markets, including SEA, LA, and San Jose.

Now, I'd be concerned, and want more analysis of WHY sales #'s dropped by 10%+ in those locations.
I saw that email, too.
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Old 10-29-2018, 03:49 PM
 
106,704 posts, read 108,880,922 times
Reputation: 80194
real estate is so localized and it is hard to tell what causes what .

it is like dutchess county in ny reported a 9% drop in sales compared to sept last year .

but: that is 204 homes vs 225 homes sold and the home prices rose in sept over the year before .

https://jfivehomes.com/dutchess-coun...eptember-2018/



you can see in westchester things are all over the map .

https://www.lohud.com/story/news/loc...er/1430594002/
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