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The Census Bureau came out this morning with the state population estimates as of July 1 2013. DC gained 13,022 people between July 1, 2012 to July 1, 2013.
The Census Bureau revised DC's 2012 population upward as well from 632,323 to 633,427.
DC's estimated population is now 646,449 as of July 1, 2013. The 1,100 net new residents per month population gain still holds.
We won't know, officially, until the city numbers come out, but it is very likely that DC already has a higher population than Boston now. DC probably will bump up a few spaces in the rankings when the city numbers come out since DC's rate of growth is currently higher than many of the cities directly above it.
Last edited by revitalizer; 12-30-2013 at 08:58 AM..
I'm really interested in seeing the components of population change for the July 2013 estimate.
For the July 2012 estimate, 32% of DC's net gain in residents came from natural increase (births minus deaths) and 22% from international migration. And, 46% of last year's estimate came from net domestic migration (people moving in from other states minus people moving out to other states).
DC's population growth is not just about young people moving here from other parts of the country looking for a job.
I'm really interested in seeing the components of population change for the July 2013 estimate.
For the July 2012 estimate, 32% of DC's net gain in residents came from natural increase (births minus deaths) and 22% from international migration. And, 46% of last year's estimate came from net domestic migration (people moving in from other states minus people moving out to other states).
DC's population growth is not just about young people moving here from other parts of the country looking for a job.
Their numbers for things other than total population are a bit weird generally.
In 2012, for example, the Census's racial breakdown estimates had the figures basically static from 2010 (black population down 0.5%, non-Hispanic white population up 0.5% from 2010). Which is possible but not very likely given the dramatic change from 2000-2010 (black population down 10% total, non-Hispanic white population up 9%). And there are no signs that the demographic shifts should have changed/slowed in the interim, either.
That actually makes me even a bit skeptical of the growth figures generally, as the interim Census estimates have historically been very bad at estimating departures of lower-income residents, typically lowballing departures (thus dramatically overestimating the populations of Chicago and Detroit before the previous Census, for example). We shall see.
Their numbers for things other than total population are a bit weird generally.
In 2012, for example, the Census's racial breakdown estimates had the figures basically static from 2010 (black population down 0.5%, non-Hispanic white population up 0.5% from 2010). Which is possible but not very likely given the dramatic change from 2000-2010 (black population down 10% total, non-Hispanic white population up 9%). And there are no signs that the demographic shifts should have changed/slowed in the interim, either.
That actually makes me even a bit skeptical of the growth figures generally, as the interim Census estimates have historically been very bad at estimating departures of lower-income residents, typically lowballing departures (thus dramatically overestimating the populations of Chicago and Detroit before the previous Census, for example). We shall see.
The major difference between Chicago and Detroit with Washington D.C. is new net housing construction. D.C. is pretty much leading the country in new net housing construction and has a very low occupancy. Chicago and Detroit even being way larger in land area don't come close to D.C. in new net housing construction. Building new housing is actually the only way for any city to acheive sustainable growth. That is why people talk about induced growth so much. New net housing is guaranteed growth once filled.
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