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Appears as though the East will likely see positive height anomalies with the NAO and AO indicies staying positive as well. I see a huge height anomaly in the north Pacific just south of the Gulf of Alaska. This will likely lead to below average temperatures in the central states. The southeast ridge is quite stubborn, though. The GFS forecasts a mild tongue of warm air for most of next week yet again. We will see how the month plays out, but it looks above average for the most part along with the coast with below average temperatures west of the Mississippi river.
Looks like most of the southeast will experience below normal temperatures after monday of next week, and the Northeast close to average. This blowtorch thing is overblown.
November 2011 here was the second warmest on record.
December though, is shaping up to be average, maybe slightly below with the first snowfall to sea level occurring in Scotland today, and perhaps in England over the coming days.
Appears as though the East will likely see positive height anomalies with the NAO and AO indicies staying positive as well. I see a huge height anomaly in the north Pacific just south of the Gulf of Alaska. This will likely lead to below average temperatures in the central states. The southeast ridge is quite stubborn, though. The GFS forecasts a mild tongue of warm air for most of next week yet again. We will see how the month plays out, but it looks above average for the most part along with the coast with below average temperatures west of the Mississippi river.
Agreed...that's pretty much the thinking by everyone now. The Atlantic ridge will keep Florida and even much the eastern Gulf/South Atlantic warmer than normal much of December I think. With some troughness just to the east of the Rockies, and a positive NAO... I think only the far northern tier from MT to upper New England will see any real winter in the next 2 to 4 weeks. The cold temps will stay in the West - central part of the USA.
Fine by me
JL talks about how December will see only a small change from the November pattern....
AccuWeather.com - Joe Lundberg | Different, But Somewhat the Same (http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/Lundberg/different-but-s/58489 - broken link)
AccuWeather.com - Brett Anderson | Siberian Express into the West Next Week (http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/siberian-express-into-the-west-next-week/58497 - broken link)
Agreed...that's pretty much the thinking by everyone now. The Atlantic ridge will keep Florida and even much the eastern Gulf/South Atlantic warmer than normal much of December I think. With some troughness just to the east of the Rockies, and a positive NAO... I think only the far northern tier from MT to upper New England will see any real winter in the next 2 to 4 weeks. The cold temps will stay in the West - central part of the USA.
Fine by me
JL talks about how December will see only a small change from the November pattern....
AccuWeather.com - Joe Lundberg | Different, But Somewhat the Same (http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/Lundberg/different-but-s/58489 - broken link)
AccuWeather.com - Brett Anderson | Siberian Express into the West Next Week (http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/siberian-express-into-the-west-next-week/58497 - broken link)
It can all change on a dime. Mr. Wavehunter knows that all too well..last December looked like a winter dud too..and look what happened..by the middle of January Mr. Wavehunter was buried up to his eyeballs in snow...haha...didn't hear a peep outta him for a month..
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