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Old 11-15-2012, 05:54 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,529 posts, read 75,373,979 times
Reputation: 16626

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This one I'm becoming confident on, unlike the hyped up Thanksgiving storm. Sometimes you hear something too many times and you start to believe it. I have to tune other parties out and listen to myself more often.

Here's a storm that continues to show up and the area of large amounts of snow continues to be northern NY, VT, NH, ME with snows dropping as far south as PA and the coast and higher elevations of TN, North Carolina and Ketucky and Virginia..

But lets not get ahead of outselves here... Forget the who and how much snow... Lets see if this pattern continues to be shown.

I like the idea of major blocking at the end of the month, I like the idea that the Trough goes on a negative tilt, and I like the idea a storm blows up as it rounds the base of the trough.

The overall pattern is setting up to be volitle going into winter and I believe the East will get the snows and cold, not the West this year just from the setup lately..

This one should be fun to track, Time frame is around November 28th right now.




Snow totals from this run are up to a foot of snow for the northern tier.

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Old 11-16-2012, 04:55 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,529 posts, read 75,373,979 times
Reputation: 16626
GFS continues to show the sharp cold front progression, the low pressure down south, negative NAO, but the latest run has it exiting Virginia and shooting straight north into Canada, so the heaviest snows would be Western NY near Lake Ontario.

Like I said, dont watch the details yet... Watch The setup. What's crazy about the latest GFS is, it has a well developed storm 3 days before this one with snow for the northern tier of NorthEast and heavy snow for Ski areas, then it shows another one in the pipes after this one. Going to be an interesting and busy winter.
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