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Our dew point is -2°C, too. Forecast low temperature tonight is -2°C. Yuck. Hopefully the last one of the season? Probably won't be, but there's a chance.
That's how the Earth cools, baby. The previous warming stalls out at a high level, the cold weather events pop up, and then the cold takes over . Blocking is associated with cooler periods in history, and in any case I'm sure the coldies are enjoying it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by miamihurricane555
I feel everyone needs some warmth so I'll share with you some of mine.
Is it normal to have 2 consecutive days forecast to be "breezy" in that area? Florida never struck me as being a windy or even breezy place aside from tropical storms.
Meanwhile, one of the recent GFS model runs has upped the ante on the coming storm in early May. Although it is an outlier and this scenario is unlikely, to have a scenario like this pop up at all is remarkable. It's showing a much stronger and colder system with a more southerly track, dropping well over a foot of snow in Wisconsin by May 3:
By May 5, the snow cover extends from Texarkana to the Labrador coast:
A snowstorm of this magnitude this late in the year would be truly unprecedented. That said, I don't think it will happen. The model consensus is for one or two upper-level lows to drop 6-12 inches of snow somewhere in the northern tier east of the Plains. Even this consensus scenario would be a rare event, though, so don't be disappointed if the eventual outcome falls short of the 12+ inch scenario. This model run is the most extreme to date and represents the extreme strong end of possible outcomes for this storm.
If this scenario were to take place and 18 inches or so fell in southern Wisconsin, it would likely be a top 10 snowstorm for the town that struck the jackpot. The 30-year average for snowfall in May in most of southern Wisconsin is zero inches, so to have a top 10 storm in May would be incredible.
Below is one map of current temperatures and one map of current snow cover - notice how in the outlined area of heavy snow cover temperatures are much lower than surrounding areas. This is an extreme example of how snowpack can be self-perpetuating, i.e. the snowpack has a cooling effect on temperature.
Below are the departures from normal for today. Notice the cool East, and the warm Northwest, as well as the concentration of cooler than normal temperatures in Texas:
A curiosity is tomorrow's lows - the huge area of near-normal lows tomorrow is very unusual:
Also, TWC's forecast for May 2. The actual conditions will depend greatly on the timing, placing, and intensity of the coming upper-level low, but the Southwest looks like the only region with above-normal temperatures:
what! but why don't you just love that feeling of warmth around not having to wear a jacket or sweater and it's not hot either. the humidity is nice not dry but not humid it's just perfect.
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