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We might be heading towards a record setting Super El Nino; if it happens, it will probably start as a weak El Nino early this summer, becoming a strong El Nino by early fall and remaining so through winter before letting up in spring. Here are three possible (but unlikely) results of the upcoming El Nino: Vote for the one that is the most likely:
A) The Atlantic Ocean sets a record for ZERO hurricanes for entire season
B) New York City gets its first winter with zero recorded snowfall
C) Los Angeles gets a direct hit from a hurricane in September
D) Minneapolis hits a high of 80 F (27 C) in January
E) I stop making these "which is more likely" polls.
Last edited by AdriannaSmiling; 05-12-2014 at 09:21 PM..
I'm sure that there have been seasons with zero North Atlantic hurricanes.
Extremely unlikely that NYC will be able to go an entire winter with no snow
I think it is possible for LA to see a hurricane, albeit a weak one imo....
There is no way that Minneapolis will see an 80 degree temp in January.
I meant in the Atlantic Ocean in general; not just the extreme north part. A hurricane can form the Gulf of Mexico but not in the Atlantic Ocean. 80 F in Minneapolis is highly improbable in January but I wouldn't say it's completely impossible; It's definitely more possible than snow in Singapore, rain at the South Pole, or a sharnado in Los Angeles. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwsqFR5bh6Q
But more likely than any of the scenarios in the poll is that the moderator deletes this poll for me exceeding the poll limit which is fine with me.
Last edited by AdriannaSmiling; 05-12-2014 at 09:30 PM..
I meant in the Atlantic Ocean in general; not just the extreme north part. A hurricane can form the Gulf of Mexico but not in the Atlantic Ocean.
I believe that has actually happened
Quote:
The exceptions were in 1914, when there was a lone tropical storm that existed from 15-19 September and crossed east to west off the Atlantic, across southern GA and down toward southern LA. There were no known hurricanes that year.
Eleven years later, in 1925, one tropical storm occurred from 6-7 September, moving out of the Gulf of Mexico across Mexico and the southern tip of Texas. Then, there was a very late season hurricane that formed on 29 November and lasted until 4 December. That storm moved from the Gulf of Mexico across Florida and up the southeast coast, with the center eventually moving northeast across the Pamlico Sound and Outer Banks of our state.
80 F in Minneapolis is highly improbable in January but I wouldn't say it's completely impossible; It's definitely more possible than snow in Singapore, rain at the South Pole, or a sharnado in Los Angeles. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwsqFR5bh6Q
But more likely than any of the scenarios in the poll is that the moderator deletes this poll for me exceeding the poll limit which is fine with me.
I'm sure at some point in history, there was an 80 degree temp in January where Minneapolis now sits. Go back far enough time.
I'm sure at some point in history, there was an 80 degree temp in January where Minneapolis now sits. Go back far enough time.
Minneapolis has seen 80 F in March so what if that freakish springlike weather occurred in late January? Also places like Washington D.C. and Oklahoma City have seen 80 F in January as well so it's not as outlandish as some of my other "which is more likely scenarios". As for those hurricaneless seasons in the Atlantic, it was way before satellite era so chances are there were hurricanes out in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean but no one observed and recorded them. I don't believe there have been any hurricane free seasons since the satellite era so it would still be an outlier event if this year is the first one.
Minneapolis has seen 80 F in March so what if that freakish springlike weather occurred in late January? Also places like Washington D.C. and Oklahoma City have seen 80 F in January as well so it's not as outlandish as some of my other "which is more likely scenarios". As for those hurricaneless seasons in the Atlantic, it was way before satellite era so chances are there were hurricanes out in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean but no one observed and recorded them. I don't believe there have been any hurricane free seasons since the satellite era so it would still be an outlier event if this year is the first one.
D.C. has not officially seen 80F in January, but the National Arboretum has. And even D.C. is 16 full degrees of latitude south of Minneapolis, so not really comparable. March dynamics are of course much different from those in January; the earliest 80F in MSP was still 2012-03-17, in the 2nd half of the month, and even that was the warmest March by a margin of 3.4F.
Minneapolis is at 45N.
Washington DC is at 39N.
That makes a difference of SIX degrees, not sixteen.
Oh accuracy, where art thou?
Oh, drop it... I am much more of an information lead then you could ever dream to be...I thought D.C. was at 28.9N for that short moment. Still makes little difference in my argument.
Last edited by Qilin34; 05-13-2014 at 12:27 PM..
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