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Mild weather last weekend must have melted everything. Current weather has been cool at ground level but mild at 850 mb. Currently 39°F and drizzling at the summit.
looks like the White Mountains are getting a decent bout of snow. But before the storm the thread is about
Nice! Oh man do I miss those maps... with the pink colors over us of course. Yeah, That storm is a low Pressure tomorrow, not the NorEaster potential next week, just in case others were wondering. Hmm, should we just post about both here? Thoughts?
Quote:
Originally Posted by BullochResident
South Florida is expecting ~4 inches of rain over the next 4 days. Is that the same area of low pressure that is expected to move up the east coast?
Currently, my 10 day is showing a 50% chance of rain Monday with highs in the 60s.
The rain S Florida is getting this week is the front sagging down and the Sub Jet shifting south as well. Don't think the storm next week affects Florida directly. I don't think it's coming from the Gulf other than moisture from there.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1227 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015
TODAY MARKS THE TRANSITIONAL DAY AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH AND W FL PANHANDLE THIS
MORNING. S FLORIDA WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THESFC-MID
LEVEL RIDGE WHICH WILL VEER FLOW TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AS THE RIDGE
DEPARTS.
THE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL START TO ADVECT TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY LATER IN THE DAY. LIGHTER WINDS WILL ALLOW THE
DEVELOPMENT OF BOTH THE GULF AND EAST COAST SEA BREEZE, THOUGH
WEAKER THAN WHAT WE WOULD SEE IN THE SUMMER
Nice! Oh man do I miss those maps... with the pink colors over us of course. Yeah, That storm is a low Pressure tomorrow, not the NorEaster potential next week, just in case others were wondering. Hmm, should we just post about both here? Thoughts?
The rain S Florida is getting this week is the front sagging down and the Sub Jet shifting south as well. Don't think the storm next week affects Florida directly. I don't think it's coming from the Gulf other than moisture from there.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1227 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015
TODAY MARKS THE TRANSITIONAL DAY AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH AND W FL PANHANDLE THIS
MORNING. S FLORIDA WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THESFC-MID
LEVEL RIDGE WHICH WILL VEER FLOW TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AS THE RIDGE
DEPARTS.
THE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL START TO ADVECT TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, MAINLY LATER IN THE DAY. LIGHTER WINDS WILL ALLOW THE
DEVELOPMENT OF BOTH THE GULF AND EAST COAST SEA BREEZE, THOUGH
WEAKER THAN WHAT WE WOULD SEE IN THE SUMMER
Actually we will be impacted directly (in my opinion). Model Guidance suggests lows in the 50's and the first clear skies in a long while. Until then, it's time to brace for the impending flood.
Currently, the White Mountains are snowless from valley to summit.
Mild weather last weekend must have melted everything. Current weather has been cool at ground level but mild at 850 mb. Currently 39°F and drizzling at the summit.
Yeah, incredible. might be one of those years where it snows, then it melts not long after. I think I read no snow in November in Boston isn't a common thing. Only a few times that's happened.
Keep us posted on Mt Washington! Curious what they get and how much sticks around.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
437 PM EST WED DEC 2 2015
THE AXIS OF THE UPPER LOW MOVING IN FROM THE WEST WILL CROSS THE
REGION OVERNIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING. THERE IS A LITTLE MASS
FIELD CHANGE FROM LAST NIGHT/S RUNS WHERE THE UPPER LOW HAS A VERY STRONG VORT MAX AT THE BASE WHICH DOES NOT WHIP AROUND AND GO POLEWARD AS IT NEARS BUT RATHER CROSSES RIGHT OVERHEAD. THIS DRIVES A STREAK OF PRECIP INTO NW PA AND ACROSS THE NRN MTNS LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY THURS MORNING. WHILE THIS FEATURE WAS HINTED AT IN PREV RUNS...IT IS NOW PROGGED TO BE MORE SOUTH - AND RIGHT INTO THE LOCAL AREA.
THE TEMPS ARE WARM /LACKING BETTER TERM/ AS THIS
STREAK PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST. THUS...THE PRECIP WILL PROBABLY START AS RAIN...BUT AS IT GETS HEAVIER AND THE TEMPS DROP TONIGHT IN COLD ADVECTION AND LOSS OF SUN...IT WILL TURN TO SNOW. FIRST ON THE HIGH ELEVATIONS THEN INTO THE VALLEYS IN THE W/N. AN INCH OR SO OF ACCUMULATION ARE EXPECTED BY SUNRISE IN THE NW AND PERHAPS THE LAURELS. ANOTHER INCH OR SO IS POSSIBLE BEFORE NOON. SOME SNOW MAY MAKE IT INTO THE RIDGE AND VALLEY REGION AND THE MIDDLE SUSQ VALLEY. ANY ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE JUST A THIN COATING THERE.
BUT
TEMPS STAY AT OR ABOVE FREEZING THERE. SO WILL NOT COLOR IN
ANYTHING MORE THAN A TRACE THERE. EVEN IN THE ALLEGHENIES AND
LAURELS...THE TEMPS WILL BE CLOSE TO FREEZING AT THEIR COLDEST
TONIGHT. SO THE SNOWFLAKES WILL PROBABLY BE PRETTY WET. QPF IS
LOW - WITH LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH AT MOST IN THE NW. SO
ALLOWING FOR SOME MELTING AND WET SNOW...THE ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD
BE ONLY AN INCH OR TWO ON THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND PERHAPS LESS
IN THE VALLEYS. IF A MODERATE TO HEAVY BAND OF SNOW CAN SET UP FOR A FEW HOURS ONE HUNTING CABIN MAY GET THREE INCHES IN 18-24 HRS
Orange tracks are from Canadian12z model
Green tracks are GFS12z
So GFS hugs the coast with the storm next week while Canadian is further OTS then curves into Nova Scotia.
Canadian is stronger with the storm but notice it has a storm develop off the coast on Dec 7th then a storm develop over the Ozarks on the 10th and the 2 merge. So Canadian much slower with the storm. Also has a clipper into Great Lakes on the 9th, GFS doesn't.
Quote:
Originally Posted by AJ1013
Actually we will be impacted directly (in my opinion)..
Looks like GFS does but would be very weak just starting out in the Gulf. I don't think it does. I think it will develop off the Southeast coast. We'll see.
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