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Old 04-29-2016, 08:31 PM
 
29,537 posts, read 19,626,354 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Infamous92 View Post
I was thinking about this earlier, I don't want below normal at any time of the year, but especially not during the warm season.
I only want below normal Dec-Feb
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Old 04-29-2016, 10:52 PM
 
Location: Alabama
269 posts, read 237,796 times
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What's up with the GFS for next Friday???
Attached Thumbnails
Spring 2016 thread (Northern Hemisphere)-gfs-friday.jpg  
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Old 04-29-2016, 11:13 PM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
45,983 posts, read 53,496,782 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
Cold wet start to May forecast: Sunday & Monday have rain and highs at or below 50°F. Wunderground is predicting mostly cloudy for Saturday, NWS mostly sunny. I wonder what's causing the difference
I'm guessing timing. haven't checked anything else or read any discussion. I think it's gonna rain Sunday and Monday so maybe WU is thinking a faster approach?
So the NWS is still at mostly sunny. Forecast discussion is optimistic:

IF YOU HAVE ANY OUTDOOR PLANS THIS DAY IS THE PICK OF THE WEEKEND.
COMBINED DEEP LAYER SUBSIDENCE AND WEAK RIDGING ALOFT AHEAD OF AN
ANTICIPATED DISTURBANCE FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL MAKE FOR A GOOD
DAY OF ANABATIC FLOW AS WINDS ARE LIGHT ALL THE WAY UP TO ROUGHLY
H7. ANTICIPATING AN INTERIOR FLOW UP THE MOUNTAIN SLOPES WITH THE
DEVELOPMENT OF CUMULUS ATOP. A LOCALIZED CONVERGENCE IF ALL COMES
TOGETHER...SOME OF THE HIGH-RES GUIDANCE IS SPITTING OUT SOME WET
WEATHER ALONG THE RIDGE OF THE BERKSHIRES. COULD NOT RULE OUT A
SPRINKLE AS MOISTURE POOLS BENEATH A DRY-SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AROUND
H8.


OTHERWISE WARMING WELL INTO THE 60S PRIOR TO SOME THIN HIGH CLOUDS
ENCROACHING FROM THE W BY EVENING. COOL ALONG THE SHORES WITH THE
ONSHORE FLOW. WARMEST CONDITIONS IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY ESPECIALLY
SPRINGFIELD-HARTFORD METRO. COULD NOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED 70 DEGREE
READING.


Still all caps! Raining in NYC and Connecticut, cloudy here. So whatever's passing through overnight might clear before another bout of rain and clouds?

Last edited by nei; 04-29-2016 at 11:40 PM..
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Old 04-30-2016, 12:35 AM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
12,623 posts, read 13,932,594 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Warszawa View Post
With the El Nino gone the influence of the warm pacific waters in Alaska seems to be returning. In order to have warm weather again, we need that warm water gone


I've said this over and over, and most on here just say it has no influence. BS. It can and will ruin summer.
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Old 04-30-2016, 12:37 AM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Hope this isn't a start of a trend...Would be bad timing.

https://twitter.com/billyweather/sta...97678552535040


My gut feeling is that it is a long term trend like summer 2013. You will get a cool summer, but you will be happy with next winter. I won't be happy with next winter. Looks like the warm PDO is here to stay, and Bastardi was totally wrong about any flip back to cold PDO. It is true that the warm PDO's seem to last way longer than the recent cold PDO.
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Old 04-30-2016, 12:42 AM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Warszawa View Post
The saying is "what goes around comes around", so hopefully Alaska and the Pacific Northwest will pay dearly for their warmth once their warm epoch ends. I would love to see Seattle get 110 inches of snow like poor Boston got last year


You are not getting the new normal are you. Eastern North America will actually cool with climate change, while the vast majority of the globe will warm. It has been discussed before. The upper level low causing this recent cold will just become much more of a permanent feature that returns again and again while the PNW is under a huge ridge that never budges. This is the new normal.


The problem for them is lack of water. Too bad. I don't want one red cent of tax dollars spent to give them water. They will have to learn to deal with their warm epoch and dryness.
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Old 04-30-2016, 12:44 AM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
12,623 posts, read 13,932,594 times
Reputation: 5895
Quote:
Originally Posted by BullochResident View Post
Wow. Today was brutal down here in Georgia. 93 F high in Savannah, 93 F high in Augusta, 94 F high at my place.


Not gonna last so don't worry. You will be lucky to reach 70F by May 7th.
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Old 04-30-2016, 03:50 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,526 posts, read 75,333,969 times
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I was curious if Philly was going to break their 12 months of being above normal so I went to check their monthly departure. Nope, Still above but not much. +0.8 above normal this month. But I did see something interesting..


3 days in a row struggled to pass 50s after hitting 86°! That must of felt weird. I dont think I ever experienced that in Summer, let alone in April. Maybe May or October?

50s is Normal for March & November in Philly.

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Old 04-30-2016, 04:09 AM
 
Location: Lizard Lick, NC
6,344 posts, read 4,408,997 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Weather Guy View Post
What's up with the GFS for next Friday???
Record cold here we come. And its only may. Starting to think this winter will be colder than any other.
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Old 04-30-2016, 04:22 AM
 
Location: Lizard Lick, NC
6,344 posts, read 4,408,997 times
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Forecast for may doesn't look as terrible as I thought, today will probably be the coolest day this month the with a high in the low to mid 60s as the ULL has sunk over us, although Charlotte will be low 80s and storms, the ULL rises north tomorrow and Raleigh gets back up to low 80s and storms then mid to upper 80s Monday before temps crash for the remainder of next week and stay in the low to mid 70s. After that everything from what I have seen moderates and we go back to 80s and possible 90s by the 10th .Hope this is the case because I don't want it to be a crap shoot record breaking cold month.
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