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Flood advisory issued for strong t-storm stalled northwest of Alexandria right now. Radar estimates indicate up to 4 inches of rain over the past two hours. Doesn't look like I will get much this evening, unless something else develops and comes my way. Frequent lightning flashes outside.
Flood advisory issued for strong t-storm stalled northwest of Alexandria right now. Radar estimates indicate up to 4 inches of rain over the past two hours. Doesn't look like I will get much this evening, unless something else develops and comes my way. Frequent lightning flashes outside.
Must feel like ... August?
Current Map. Looks like the bottom edge of the front back there will hit you tomorrow morning. Bunch of warnings on it now.
Pink outline is Tornado Watch possible
NWS had Thunder for us Tuesday but recently took it off. Hot & Cold go boom. 40s/50s behind that front right now
Current Map. Looks like the bottom edge of the front back there will hit you tomorrow morning. Bunch of warnings on it now.
Pink outline is Tornado Watch possible
NWS had Thunder for us Tuesday but recently took it off. Hot & Cold go boom. 40s/50s behind that front right now
Yup, I think that line will hit here around 8-10 tomorrow morning, but with a lower severe threat.
Just saw where this was issued for tonight:
Spoiler
Quote:
SUMMARY...VERY HEAVY RAIN RATES...LOCALLY PERSISTENT...COULD LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING.
DISCUSSION...OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS AND A SMALL INTENSE QPF SIGNAL
IN RECENT HRRR RUNS ARE CAUSE FOR SOME CONCERN. LOW LEVEL INFLOW
WAS VERY MOIST WITH PW 1.70 INCH OR GREATER ON 00Z SOUNDINGS FROM
LAKE CHARLES AND SLIDELL.
ONGOING STORMS AT 01Z HAD SHOWN CONTINUED STRENGTHENING...COOLING
CLOUD TOPS ALONG WITH INCREASING DUAL POL RAIN RATE
ESTIMATES...AND A GRADUAL ABILITY TO BECOME ORGANIZED. THE STORMS
WERE SUPPORTED BY RICH GULF MOISTURE STREAMING INTO A REGION OF
MODEST BUT PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL DIFLUENCE AHEAD OF THE LARGE
SCALE AMPLIFYING TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS STATES. STORMS WEST OF
ALEXANDRIA...ALONG THE NORTHWEST EDGE OF THE RICHEST MOISTURE PER
TPW SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE SPC
MESOANALYSIS...HAD BECOME ANCHORED WHERE SOUTHEASTERLY INFLOW WAS
BALANCED AGAINST SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW. AT 01Z DUAL POL
RADAR AT FORT POLK... KPOE...ESTIMATED SMALL SCALE RAIN RATES NEAR
4 INCHES IN AN HOUR. CONTINUATION OF THIS ACTIVITY IS SOMEWHAT IN
DOUBT...AS THE UPSTREAM INFLOW WAS RAIN-COOLED...BUT INCREASING
SYNOPTIC ASCENT MAY SUSTAIN A NARROW CONVECTIVE WEDGE.
FARTHER SOUTH A COMBINED COLD POOL HAD GRADUALLY DEVELOPED FROM
BATON ROUGE TO LAFAYETTE...ACTING TO ENHANCE THE LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE AND SLOW THE INDIVIDUAL CELL MOTIONS. CONTINUED
MERGERS WITHIN THIS CLUSTER OF DEEP THUNDERSTORMS IS LIKELY
THROUGH AT LEAST 05Z...AND PERHAPS LONGER...PER RAP MODEL
FORECASTS OF INCREASINGLY DIFLUENT UPPER FLOW. RECENT HRRR RUNS
PRODUCE A SMALL BUT POTENTIALLY ACCURATE AREA OF EXCEPTIONAL
RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME HOURS OVER SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA. ALTHOUGH THE HRRR SOLUTION OF GREATER THAN 10 INCHES
REPRESENTS A WORSE CASE SCENARIO...ANYTHING CLOSE TO THIS WOULD
EASILY EXCEED FFG...AND WPC UPGRADED THIS SMALL AREA TO A SLIGHT
RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN THE 01Z UPDATE.
We were under a tornado warning for about 5 minutes today around 20:45. There were reports of a brief tornado touchdown just a few miles to my southwest along with some minor damage. Luckily I was safe in my dorm's basement. There really wasn't much here except some rain and wind. We got moderate-heavy rain for a few hours after the tornado threat passed. For a while it looked like we wouldn't get much because it had been cloudy in the morning and early afternoon, and while there was a tornado warning to the southwest about an hour before it was here, it looked like the worst of the storm had dissipated. We had been in an enhanced risk the day before however, and were under a tornado watch the day of, so we were definitely aware of the threat.
Yup, I think that line will hit here around 8-10 tomorrow morning, but with a lower severe threat.
Just saw where this was issued for tonight:
Here it comes
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