What is the hottest temp that Austin will reach from now until the end of the year? (Waco: live, swimming)

[Trainwreck20]

Originally Posted by sojourner77

Still haven't (and won't) hit 95 again this year:


https://weather.com/weather/monthly/l/USTX0057:1:US

NOAA has the max temperature on Sept 1 as 95 at ABIA and 96 at Mabry. They are the official site for weather data, afaik.

Not sure if this link will work:
Quality Controlled Local Climatological Data (QCLCD) | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) formerly known as National Climatic Data Center (NCDC)

Nah, it doesn't, but here is a snip fro ABIA:

[cBach]

Originally Posted by sojourner77

Still haven't (and won't) hit 95 again this year:


https://weather.com/weather/monthly/l/USTX0057:1:US

Like they say, Denial (De Nile) is a river in Egypt.

[cBach]

That "cold front" helped clear out the humidity. Very nice this morning and nice dry heat this afternoon (93).

[Trainwreck20]

Wasn't this morning wonderful? 71 F and dry(ish) driving in to work with the windows down....

[sojourner77]

Yes, we all have our data points. The flaw in this thread is that a single "authority" on the temperature data was not established in the beginning. My prediction was based upon forecasts made by Weather.com, which says that 94 degrees is the highest temperature we've reach. Other sources will have data that reads higher or lower which may be due to different monitoring station locations. Had I used NOAA, Weather Underground, or KXAN, or someone else (heck, one poster tried to use their car thermometer as an "authority" for the high temp) - there would have always been SOMEONE who had a temp reading that far surpassed the consensus. If we were using "the-highest-temperature-we-could-possibly-find-from-the-dozen-or-more-authorities-out-there", then I would have bet that we reached 98 or close to 100.


Pretty much the margin-of-error between the high temps listed by all the data sources could be as much as 6 or 7 degrees between them, which is basically large enough to negate this thread.

[cBach]

Well sojourner77 you were right it won't hit 100 again this year.

It has hit 95 if you go by official (NOAA) records.

[another_hot-day]

The entire weekend was wonderful!!

[centralaustinite]

I was always pretty sure that we wouldn't hit 100 again, I just assumed that we would use NOAA records at either Mabry or ABIA. ABIA can run a bit cooler than the city, so I would have argued for Mabry as the best approximation.

Can you imagine what September would have been like without the freaky August cold fronts and incredible rain? If we had 2 inches or less of rain in August and the more typical "dome of high pressure" that lets the heat build?!! I've been surprised by how heat is has gotten, I can't imagine what this month would have been like had it followed a typical August, something like 2000 (records highs in September) or 2011! It is scary to contemplate.

[austin_res]

I too assumed we use the official stations at Camp Mabry and the airport. The airport tends to a few degrees cooler than Mabry, but this is mostly at night which affects only the low temperatures.

Not unusual to have a few 100 degree days in September, however it appears we will get a reprieve this year.

[Inphosphere]

Originally Posted by centralaustinite

I was always pretty sure that we wouldn't hit 100 again, I just assumed that we would use NOAA records at either Mabry or ABIA. ABIA can run a bit cooler than the city, so I would have argued for Mabry as the best approximation.

Can you imagine what September would have been like without the freaky August cold fronts and incredible rain? If we had 2 inches or less of rain in August and the more typical "dome of high pressure" that lets the heat build?!! I've been surprised by how heat is has gotten, I can't imagine what this month would have been like had it followed a typical August, something like 2000 (records highs in September) or 2011! It is scary to contemplate.

Actually, the "heat domes" aren't as normal over Texas as you think. Typically, they occur only for brief times. However, the unusual droughts, like 2011, skewed people's perceptions.

Even if August was bone dry, the year would be nothing like 2000 or 2011; remember, earlier in the spring, the floods?