2018 MSA Population Estimates- Predictions? (Releasing 4/18) (best, state, largest, bigger)

[rynetwo]

These are the three I always like to watch...

22 Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC MSA 2,525,305
23 Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL MSA 2,509,831
24 San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX MSA 2,473,974

San Antonio was the fastest growing city last year. Will that translate to more metro growth? IDK.

[jjbradleynyc]

I'm curious to see how the continued, and newer, "booming metros" are doing with this year's estimates.

Nashville
*red hot "it" boom city now. Will it pass 2 million, or is that not until 2020?
Austin
*should pass Kansas City and Cincinnati
Denver
*metro should be close to 3 million
Dallas-Ft Worth
*growth still unbelievable. Curious to see where it is now, as they continue the push to 8 million by 2025
Atlanta
*Should be a hair under 6 million--we will see
San Antonio
*The strong surge will most likely continue. Neck and neck with Orlando and Charlotte metros...interesting to track
Phoenix
*Should be around 4.85 million or so. May hit 5 million in 2020?
Las Vegas
*Growth slowed a bit but still strong. Will they pass Pittsburgh?
Houston
*hot on Dallas-Ft Worth's heels but still down about 500k. Will they pass 7 million in this new release of numbers?

[Pemgin]

Atlanta would have to add almost 120k to reach 6m this year. I doubt that will happen, but it will definitely blow by that mark in '20.

[Spade]

I think Houston will come up short of 7 million as well as the metro may come up short of 100k in growth. I wonder if DFW could pass the 8 million mark in CSA.

[J_J99]

Houston will be interesting due to these estimates being among the first to show the true impact of Hurricane Harvey on the region, could be a wildcard.

[btownboss4]

We get city populations of St Louis, Baltimore, San Francisco, Philadelphia, Louisville, Indianapolis and New Orleans (+VA Cities) so that will be interesting.


Also we get pretty good approximations of Boston and Charlotte which are like 80% of their counties and Jacksonville which is like 97% of its county.

[KodeBlue]

Originally Posted by TheTimidBlueBars

Calling it now:

South Bend and Cincinnati will continue accelerating their growth relative to other Rust Belt cities. Philadelphia will also grow faster.

Baltimore and Milwaukee will fall even more than normal.

Anchorage, AK will be very close to 0% net growth since 2010.

In the Chicago area, no county except Kendall will show any significant growth, not even Kane and Will.

Baltimore's MSA population has NEVER fallen. It just passed St Louis last year.

[TheTimidBlueBars]

Originally Posted by KodeBlue

Baltimore's MSA population has NEVER fallen. It just passed St Louis last year.

But Baltimore is an independent city, so we will get data on it.

Edit: My bad, I can't read, this thread is specifically about MSAs.

[the topper]

Cities' population released in late May

[atadytic19]

Originally Posted by J_J99

Houston will be interesting due to these estimates being among the first to show the true impact of Hurricane Harvey on the region, could be a wildcard.

The last update we have, the cut off is July 2017. That was before Harvey so it does not reflect any consequences of Harvey at all.
This new update is up too July 2018 so it reflects the 10-11 months after Harvey so we will see how much of an impact.

Also, I read refugee policys of in place in 2017 hit Houston hard in 2018.
On top of that Houston was one of the top cities with the most ICE arrests.

Houston's net domestic migration was negative last estimate.

These factors make me want to predict a net increase of 88,000 for 2018 but I'm going to go out on limb and predict 105,000 in addiction to a 2017 revision of 18,000 and an overall population estimate of 7,005,000 MSA and 7,216,000 CSA. All factors point otherwise tho