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Old 05-22-2012, 05:53 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,966,939 times
Reputation: 7118

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Did I mention that 10 point party ID advantage for obama?

Obama 49-46, tied up on who better to fix economy.

Just imagine what that number would be with a valid party ID number.

Yeah, this is what the pollster had to do to get it close.

Last month, obama was up by 7.

Washington Post-ABC News Poll (washingtonpost.com)

Poll: Obama, Romney in dead heat - The Washington Post

Quote:
One of those times came last month, when Obama held a seven-point advantage. That lead was fueled in part by a 19-point advantage among women, the largest across the set of polls. In the new survey, 51 percent of female voters support Obama and 44 percent Romney, almost precisely the average divide since April 2011.
Oh dear...the democrat's War on Women is working well....for Mitt.
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Old 05-22-2012, 10:21 AM
 
Location: Norman, OK
3,478 posts, read 7,258,638 times
Reputation: 1201
No matter your anatomy, the economy is issue #1.
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Old 05-22-2012, 11:36 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,966,939 times
Reputation: 7118
Quote:
Originally Posted by wxjay View Post
No matter your anatomy, the economy is issue #1.
True...but ABC/WaPo used a survey that under sampled republicans (22%) which is ridiculous...but this is what they NEEDED to do to put obama just slightly ahead.

Here is the D/R/I split for 2008; 39/32/29.

For 2010: 35/35/30.

For this poll: 32/22/38.

See their big, big problem?
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Old 05-22-2012, 12:16 PM
 
Location: Texas
14,975 posts, read 16,470,546 times
Reputation: 4586
Quote:
Originally Posted by wxjay View Post
No matter your anatomy, the economy is issue #1.
The delusional liberals on this forum continue to think otherwise and basically ignore every poll that dare suggests they are wrong (and, at this point, almost every poll does suggest they are wrong). It's kind of funny actually.
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Old 05-22-2012, 02:01 PM
 
1,692 posts, read 1,961,100 times
Reputation: 1190
Quote:
Originally Posted by afoigrokerkok View Post
The delusional liberals on this forum continue to think otherwise and basically ignore every poll that dare suggests they are wrong (and, at this point, almost every poll does suggest they are wrong). It's kind of funny actually.
Which us pretty much what you guys do, no? Go look at the polls at RCP - generally positive news for Obama. But you'd never know that here on City Data, where you and Sanrene cherry pick the most favorable Romney poll, twist around its data, and make a new thread everyday about how much "trouble" Obama is in.

I don't see many "delusional" liberal threads that do that, at least as consistently and you guys do.

I think I'm going to stop checking on CD politics until September, when the polls actually matter. Its like banging your head against a brick wall around here.
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Old 05-22-2012, 03:31 PM
 
Location: it depends
6,369 posts, read 6,413,164 times
Reputation: 6388
Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
...............Oh dear...the democrat's War on Women is working well....for Mitt.
The Democrat's War on Prosperity is the one that will send Obama back to Chicago to work on his presidential library next year.
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Old 05-23-2012, 06:23 AM
 
Location: Golden, CO
2,108 posts, read 2,895,781 times
Reputation: 1027
Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
True...but ABC/WaPo used a survey that under sampled republicans (22%) which is ridiculous...but this is what they NEEDED to do to put obama just slightly ahead.

Here is the D/R/I split for 2008; 39/32/29.

For 2010: 35/35/30.

For this poll: 32/22/38.

See their big, big problem?
It is the Republicans big, big problem. Can't you see people are leaving the Republican party in droves? It is the number of Independents that is growing.
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Old 05-23-2012, 06:56 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,966,939 times
Reputation: 7118
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hueffenhardt View Post
It is the Republicans big, big problem. Can't you see people are leaving the Republican party in droves? It is the number of Independents that is growing.
The number of republicans polled is totally defective and under sampled.

Here, let me help you;

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - Generic Congressional Vote

The "model" looks more like 2010 than it does 2008.

Unless you have other evidence that shows republican registration is down?
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Old 05-23-2012, 07:03 AM
 
Location: NJ
23,567 posts, read 17,245,407 times
Reputation: 17615
Any poll that shows an Obama advantage is derived from the same people that gave him a nobel peace prize and a transparency award. Reality is not the strong suite of this administration.

Obama will lose by a landslide. The Dems won a novelty election once and forget reality has set in to sober up that portion of the electorate who wanted to 'be a part of history'.
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