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Old 06-29-2012, 04:48 PM
 
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Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

I know it's early, but the Liberal MSMâ„¢ 538 blog is trending that way.
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Old 06-29-2012, 04:54 PM
 
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Doubt it, will probably be close
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Old 06-29-2012, 05:01 PM
 
Location: Maryland
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Majin View Post
Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

I know it's early, but the Liberal MSMâ„¢ 538 blog is trending that way.
He has no tossups gotta take his map with a grain of salt.
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Old 06-29-2012, 05:03 PM
 
Location: On the "Left Coast", somewhere in "the Land of Fruits & Nuts"
8,852 posts, read 10,462,476 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Majin View Post
Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

I know it's early, but the Liberal MSM™ 538 blog is trending that way.
The election is still a long way off and a lot can happen in the meantime. But so far it's not looking too good for Mitt, who has a pretty formidable electoral (and "enthusuasm") gap to overcome.

Although IMO, the interesting question is whether the Congressional and Senate majorities will also swing in Obama's favor... or whether we'll have yet another 4 years of polarized "gridlock", regardless of any Presidential "landslide"?
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Old 06-29-2012, 05:07 PM
 
Location: The #1 sunshine state, Arizona.
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Time flies, Obama will be back on the Chicago streets before he knows it.
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Old 06-29-2012, 05:09 PM
 
30,075 posts, read 18,682,634 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Majin View Post
Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

I know it's early, but the Liberal MSM™ 538 blog is trending that way.

Romney appears poised to win by a substantial margin, but it will not be a landslide. Obama will win anywhere from 156- 232 electoral votes, simply be the "defacto" modern liberal vote of the dependent class. However, this will be far from Reagan style landslides, as there is a greater number of citizens, due to failed liberal economic policy, who are dependent upon the government for survival and will vote for that continued support. Thankfully, they are very unreliable voters (usually they cannot get out of bed to do anything) and they will not show up this year.

Large margin victory for Romney, but not a Reagan type landslide.
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Old 06-29-2012, 05:29 PM
 
Location: #
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hawkeye2009 View Post
Romney appears poised to win by a substantial margin, but it will not be a landslide. Obama will win anywhere from 156- 232 electoral votes, simply be the "defacto" modern liberal vote of the dependent class. However, this will be far from Reagan style landslides, as there is a greater number of citizens, due to failed liberal economic policy, who are dependent upon the government for survival and will vote for that continued support. Thankfully, they are very unreliable voters (usually they cannot get out of bed to do anything) and they will not show up this year.

Large margin victory for Romney, but not a Reagan type landslide.
That's a lot less optimistic than your usual mantra.

The SC's decision was a rude awakening for many on the right.
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Old 06-29-2012, 05:33 PM
 
Location: SF Bay Area
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Default Absolutely

Quote:
Originally Posted by Majin View Post
Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

I know it's early, but the Liberal MSM™ 538 blog is trending that way.
We are going to find that as the presidential race moves along, and more light is reflected on Romney, he will look just like what he is: a fast-talking empty suit, who represents an ideology that has regressed since the Bush years. Romney obviously for the rich and privileged. Everyone else can go to hell, despite Romney's insincere proclamations otherwise. Whatever ideas he puts forth have their basis in a Conservative history that has meant nothing but failure. Romney favors outsourcing jobs, displacing Americans to maximize profits.

Exposure of the Republicans in Congress these 4 years, dooms Romney and the Conservative party.

The detrimental presence of the Tea party dooms the GOP.

Romney's VP choice will seal his defeat.

Exposure of the Republicans as the party of Bush dooms their chances when it comes right down to it.

President Obama will only look better as the election draws near. The more light that is reflected on him, the better he looks. He has decimated Republicans by killing bin Laden, ending Bush's unnecessary wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, reviving the economy that was headed for a Depression in spite of Congressional Republicans trying to make him fail. Obama has addressed the health care crisis, a crisis that stared Republicans in the face for 8 years. Republicans ignored it to nation-build abroad and engage in wasteful military spending. The Supreme Court agreed with Obama, putting egg on the faces of Conservatives. Obama has deported more illegal criminals than Republicans ever have. He has the hispanic vote, especially after making that great decision not to deport their kids. Change, we can believe in. He caused change in Libya without committing this country to war. Smart foreign policy. Iran is in check. North Korea is in check. Russia is in check. Israeli conflict in check. Drone strikes decimating the enemy. Smart, effective, little to no risk of loss of American lives.

A landslide? You bet. Obama takes the entire Northeast, the entire Midwest (OH, MI, WI included). He takes the Far West (CO, NV, NM, OR included). He takes southern states that Romney can't afford to lose (NC, FL, and VA). A billion dollars can't help Romney.
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Old 06-29-2012, 05:56 PM
 
30,075 posts, read 18,682,634 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by crbcrbrgv View Post
That's a lot less optimistic than your usual mantra.

The SC's decision was a rude awakening for many on the right.
It is objective. I guess 156 would be a "landslide". I would anticipate 232 electoral votes at the most for Obama. Nonetheless, the presidential race is essentially over, and what is at play for the libs now is the senate. Given the SC dem "victory" for Obamacare, this makes democratic senate candidates much more vunerable and the republicans may take the senate as well.

With two years of the White House, Senate, and House, the republicans will have the same power Obama had for his first two years. Let us hope that they use that advantage well, otherwise they will be out. I doubt, however, than any electorate will be duped by the far left insanity of Obama and Pelosi again.
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Old 06-29-2012, 05:59 PM
 
Location: White House, TN
6,486 posts, read 6,189,271 times
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Probably not. I think it's going to be a pretty handy win for Romney, with maybe 55% of the popular vote. But not a landslide. There are still plenty of people who would never vote for Romney.
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