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Old 08-22-2012, 07:38 PM
 
Location: Area 51.5
13,887 posts, read 13,671,534 times
Reputation: 9174

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An Electoral College model that has correctly forecast the outcome of every presidential election since 1980 has chosen a 2012 winner.

Electoral College Prediction Model Points To A Mitt Romney Win In 2012

 
Old 08-22-2012, 08:07 PM
 
69,368 posts, read 64,118,301 times
Reputation: 9383
A huffington POS story at that...
 
Old 08-22-2012, 09:08 PM
 
Location: Area 51.5
13,887 posts, read 13,671,534 times
Reputation: 9174
Yeah, no kidding.
 
Old 08-22-2012, 09:09 PM
 
Location: Texas
14,975 posts, read 16,464,090 times
Reputation: 4586
And this is why we are seeing Team Obama conducting such a vicious anti-Romney campaign. Because they know the fundamentals do not favor them. (This model is based on fundamentals, not on polling.)

Let's see what happens after the convention and Team Romney is actually able to spend all their $$$.

Last edited by afoigrokerkok; 08-22-2012 at 09:44 PM..
 
Old 08-22-2012, 09:22 PM
 
Location: 44.9800° N, 93.2636° W
2,654 posts, read 5,762,576 times
Reputation: 888
And if they're right, the economy will completely bottom out. Hope this helps!
 
Old 08-22-2012, 09:27 PM
 
Location: Area 51.5
13,887 posts, read 13,671,534 times
Reputation: 9174
Quote:
Originally Posted by afoigrokerkok View Post
And this is why we Team Obama is conducting such a vicious anti-Romney campaign. Because they know the fundamentals do not favor them. (This model is based on fundamentals, not on polling.)

Let's see what happens after the convention and Team Romney is actually able to spend all their $$$.
That's what I'm waiting for. I just hope Romney's balls continue growing. He's been so wimpy until this past week or so.
 
Old 08-22-2012, 09:29 PM
 
Location: Texas
14,975 posts, read 16,464,090 times
Reputation: 4586
Quote:
Originally Posted by nick is rulz View Post
And if they're right, the economy will completely bottom out. Hope this helps!
Nope....

Things will get better. There's a reason that less than 30% of small business owners are planning to vote for Obama. There's a reason corporations are hoarding so much $$$.

If Obama wins, we can expect four years of the same. Stagnation.
 
Old 08-22-2012, 09:31 PM
 
Location: Texas
14,975 posts, read 16,464,090 times
Reputation: 4586
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dale Cooper View Post
That's what I'm waiting for. I just hope Romney's balls continue growing. He's been so wimpy until this past week or so.
Yeah. It's not so much what Romney specifically has been saying/doing, but I've been really frustrated with the way the Romney campaign as a whole has been run. To be honest, I think it's a completely inept campaign. That being said, I have noticed a difference as of late.

Something to mention - this model isn't forecasting that Romney will just barely win. It's actually forecasting a borderline Romney landslide, including Romney winning states like MN, PA, and WI. WI does seem plausible, but MN and PA would be real shockers, especially MN. Hell, Mondale won MN!
 
Old 08-22-2012, 09:36 PM
 
Location: NJ
18,665 posts, read 19,972,963 times
Reputation: 7315
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dale Cooper View Post
An Electoral College model that has correctly forecast the outcome of every presidential election since 1980 has chosen a 2012 winner.

Electoral College Prediction Model Points To A Mitt Romney Win In 2012
8 straight correct = very impressive
 
Old 08-22-2012, 09:51 PM
 
Location: Greater Washington, DC
1,347 posts, read 1,088,541 times
Reputation: 235
If Romney wins, which I think is more likely than most liberals here realize (and to be fair, less likely than some of the very confident conservatives here realize), I do not think it will be with the help of Minnesota or Pennsylvania.
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