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Well
we know where we're goin'
but we don't know where we've been.
And we know what we're knowing'
but we can't say what we've seen.
For the Republicans, 2012 is starting to look too much like 2008:
1. The Republican establishment favors a pragmatic moderate who's known for making deals with the other side. The Republican base is turned off, giving its support to various colorful but flawed alternatives.
2. One by one, the alternatives fall out until the establishment favorite is left standing. Too regain support of the base, they select a young, controversial firebrand for VP that's more popular with Republicans than their presidential nominee
3. The Republican convention is overshadowed by a hurricane; and has all the appeal and excitement of a time-share sales presentation. The effect on undecided voters is negligible.
4. The Republican message is consistently interrupted by errors and events beyond their control. The nominee starts tacking further to the Right. The VP pick brings too much baggage. All this turns off moderates and independents.
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