Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
What’s a bit more worrisome for Mr. Romney is that Gallup’s reporting of the head-to-head results in its poll occurs over a lengthy seven-day window, meaning that only a minority of the interviews in the poll were conducted after the major speeches at the Democratic convention.In fact, most of the interviews in the poll were conducted just after the Republican convention in Tampa, Fla., a period in which Mr. Romney should have been enjoying a convention bounce of his own.
In other words, Gallup registered a negative bounce for Romney....
Right now, all bodes well on Silver's blog. Best to watch the "Now Cast" projections instead of the Nov. 6. Gives you a better feel for where things really are today.
80% is too high.
I agree with the more conservative estimates, which puts Obama at a 71.8% chance of winning at the moment.
More importantly, if you look at the electoral votes in the states that are 70% solid for one candidate or the other, Obama has about 20 different ways he can win enough electoral votes compare to Romney's 2 or 3. Obama can lose a couple of important states and still win, but Mitt cannot lose any of them and still win.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
