Washington Post: It's time to concede Donald Trump is likely to Win the Republican Nomination (voters, campaign)
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During a campaign rally in Waterloo Iowa, Donald Trump vowed to win the presidency saying, "I'm not going anywhere." (Reuters)
One of the more unusual aspects of Donald Trump's three-plus months at the top of the Republican presidential field is that to so many, myself included, it still seems like it's only temporary. A number of people who spend a lot of time looking at the numbers have, since he took the lead in July, written about the various reasons why his lead would be temporary — again, myself included. People who rely on poll data were saying, in some sense, "I'm going with the numbers in my gut."
But the real numbers, including those in a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, support the idea that Trump will continue to lead and that he could win the nomination.
There's the top-line number, of course, which shows Trump with a lead over the rest of the field. Nearly a third of Republican voters pick Trump as their candidate, followed by 22 percent who choose Ben Carson. As we noted last week, those two share a base of support, meaning that if one were to drop out, the other could and probably would pick up much of his support. In other words: Trump has some room to grow.
No he isn't. If the election were held today, Hillary would win, with 321 electoral votes. Trump would only get 217 electoral votes. She is leading over him in the polls for 8 out of 10 swing states. She will be the next president, thank God.
During a campaign rally in Waterloo Iowa, Donald Trump vowed to win the presidency saying, "I'm not going anywhere." (Reuters)
One of the more unusual aspects of Donald Trump's three-plus months at the top of the Republican presidential field is that to so many, myself included, it still seems like it's only temporary. A number of people who spend a lot of time looking at the numbers have, since he took the lead in July, written about the various reasons why his lead would be temporary — again, myself included. People who rely on poll data were saying, in some sense, "I'm going with the numbers in my gut."
But the real numbers, including those in a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, support the idea that Trump will continue to lead and that he could win the nomination.
There's the top-line number, of course, which shows Trump with a lead over the rest of the field. Nearly a third of Republican voters pick Trump as their candidate, followed by 22 percent who choose Ben Carson. As we noted last week, those two share a base of support, meaning that if one were to drop out, the other could and probably would pick up much of his support. In other words: Trump has some room to grow.
Contrary to your title, the Washington Post didn't declare IT IS TIME, the Post queried, IS IT TIME?
What polls are saying that? Our presidential elections are decided on electoral votes, when you look at states individually, Trump still loses.
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