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Old 11-13-2015, 01:52 PM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,803 posts, read 41,019,978 times
Reputation: 62204

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Florida Times Union Florida State Poll Nov 12 2015 - Interviews conducted after the Fox Business Channel Debate

Likely presidential primary voters; Republican; Florida MOE +/-3.4

Trump
22.7

Carson
22.3

Rubio
17.9

Cruz
12.4

Bush
10.9

Fiorina
4.7

Undecided
1.0

Everybody else less than 3%

http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/u...z-11.12.15.pdf

In Florida:

The Hispanic vote goes to Rubio
The African American vote goes to Trump closely followed by Bush
The White vote goes to Trump
The male vote goes to Trump
The female vote goes to Carson
The 65 and Overs go for Trump followed very closely by Carson
The 35 - 44s go for Carson followed very closely by Trump
The 18 - 29s go for Trump
The 30 - 44s go for Carson

They think Kasich lost the debate.

 
Old 11-13-2015, 01:55 PM
 
4,081 posts, read 3,606,367 times
Reputation: 1235
Oh look, Carson is gaining on Trump. Perhaps people are tired of Trump?
 
Old 11-13-2015, 01:59 PM
 
Location: Dallas
2,414 posts, read 3,487,736 times
Reputation: 4133
Almost all the demographics the Republicans need in the general support Trump. I'm starting to think a few need to drop, and we need to start supporting the candidate most likely to win, which is Trump. The 18-29 millennial generation outnumber the baby boomers now, and Trump has the best chances with that generation.
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Old 11-13-2015, 02:02 PM
 
4,081 posts, read 3,606,367 times
Reputation: 1235
Quote:
Originally Posted by RonnieinDallas View Post
Almost all the demographics the Republicans need in the general support Trump. I'm starting to think a few need to drop, and we need to start supporting the candidate most likely to win, which is Trump.
Trump fans are already supporting Trump in the polls, so any further consolidation with benefit his rivals.
 
Old 11-13-2015, 02:09 PM
 
Location: Dallas
2,414 posts, read 3,487,736 times
Reputation: 4133
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dequindre View Post
Trump fans are already supporting Trump in the polls, so any further consolidation with benefit his rivals.
I thought that too, but after looking at some of the polls it looks like Trump is #1 for people as their second choice. I'm optimistic Carson will eventually have his Herman Cain moment, and Trump would likely receive most Carson supporters if that happens. I think a few of the establishment candidates are waiting until after the first few states to drop, but if Trump manages to win all of the early states the bandwagon effect will be insurmountable for the establishment to overcome.
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Old 11-13-2015, 02:11 PM
 
79,907 posts, read 44,210,872 times
Reputation: 17209
Quote:
Originally Posted by RonnieinDallas View Post
Almost all the demographics the Republicans need in the general support Trump. I'm starting to think a few need to drop, and we need to start supporting the candidate most likely to win, which is Trump. The 18-29 millennial generation outnumber the baby boomers now, and Trump has the best chances with that generation.
After all, that is the vow that they pressured Trump to take.
 
Old 11-13-2015, 02:16 PM
 
4,081 posts, read 3,606,367 times
Reputation: 1235
Quote:
Originally Posted by RonnieinDallas View Post
I thought that too, but after looking at some of the polls it looks like Trump is #1 for people as their second choice. I'm optimistic Carson will eventually have his Herman Cain moment, and Trump would likely receive most Carson supporters if that happens. I think a few of the establishment candidates are waiting until after the first few states to drop, but if Trump manages to win all of the early states the bandwagon effect will be insurmountable for the establishment to overcome.
Carson supporters like the fact that Trump compared their candidate to a child molester? Expect Carson fans to spread evenly between Trump, Cruz, and Rubio.
 
Old 11-13-2015, 02:21 PM
 
Location: Montgomery County, PA
16,569 posts, read 15,278,266 times
Reputation: 14591
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dequindre View Post
Oh look, Carson is gaining on Trump. Perhaps people are tired of Trump?
Yeah, first heard that in June.
 
Old 11-13-2015, 02:23 PM
 
Location: Montgomery County, PA
16,569 posts, read 15,278,266 times
Reputation: 14591
Quote:
Originally Posted by LauraC View Post
Florida Times Union Florida State Poll Nov 12 2015 - Interviews conducted after the Fox Business Channel Debate

Likely presidential primary voters; Republican; Florida MOE +/-3.4

Trump
22.7

Carson
22.3
Almost every poll is obsolete as soon as it comes out because Trump did something big the day before. Now everybody is waiting to see what happens to his numbers after last night.
 
Old 11-14-2015, 07:12 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,803 posts, read 41,019,978 times
Reputation: 62204
Quote:
Originally Posted by RonnieinDallas View Post
Almost all the demographics the Republicans need in the general support Trump. I'm starting to think a few need to drop, and we need to start supporting the candidate most likely to win, which is Trump. The 18-29 millennial generation outnumber the baby boomers now, and Trump has the best chances with that generation.
The 65+ people are the most reliable voting demographic. They always show up to vote in bigger numbers than other age groups.
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