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Old 12-24-2015, 01:26 PM
 
Location: Oklahoma
6,811 posts, read 6,948,599 times
Reputation: 20971

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This article states what I have been seeing for quite a while. Many people who support Trump and plan to vote for him don't make their views public knowledge. Not all of Trump's supporters agree 100% with what he says, but are in agreement with him enough to cast their vote for him.

Polls may actually underestimate Trump's support, study finds
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Old 12-24-2015, 01:29 PM
 
Location: Stasis
15,823 posts, read 12,467,310 times
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Unskewing of polls didn't work for Romney or Gingrich.

http://wonkette.com/484981/dont-worr...-polls-for-you
http://thinkprogress.org/politics/20...2012-election/
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Old 12-24-2015, 02:04 PM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
77,771 posts, read 104,772,037 times
Reputation: 49248
Quote:
Originally Posted by aquietpath View Post
This article states what I have been seeing for quite a while. Many people who support Trump and plan to vote for him don't make their views public knowledge. Not all of Trump's supporters agree 100% with what he says, but are in agreement with him enough to cast their vote for him.

Polls may actually underestimate Trump's support, study finds
OMG, if anything it is visa versa. Any poll that has a candidate up by 15 or more percent is flawed in some ways. if we take what you say seriously the % supporting him would be as high as 50% and this just simply isn't the case. Answer the question that has been asked here several times: how many times have you been called by a reliable poster? And how many people using cell phones only ever get polled? Let me add, for anyone who really understands politics we know any poll or study is swayed by whomever is conducting it. Anyone who believes the study you are supporting is so biased toward their candidate they are not thinking clearly. I think the secret lies in the number of people and the type of people that either do not answer their phone or who do not have land lines. These are generally the more educated and/or younger voters. Again, I use the term generally. There are exceptions to all rules.
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Old 12-24-2015, 02:05 PM
 
Location: Oklahoma
6,811 posts, read 6,948,599 times
Reputation: 20971
We shall see, won't we?
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Old 12-24-2015, 02:17 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
11,346 posts, read 16,711,567 times
Reputation: 13392
Quote:
Originally Posted by aquietpath View Post
We shall see, won't we?
Yes, we shall.

Trump 2016
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Old 12-24-2015, 03:48 PM
 
4,081 posts, read 3,606,367 times
Reputation: 1235
Considering that Trump's name is in the media 24/7, and people aren't paying attention to the race yet, I'd imagine that his poll numbers are OVERinflated.
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Old 12-24-2015, 04:35 PM
 
33,387 posts, read 34,847,766 times
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the polls right now are rubbish anyway. they dont tell the real story, and wont until election day draws closer. we will know what trump has for support when the primary season hits for real though, good or bad for him.
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Old 12-24-2015, 04:54 PM
 
Location: Sweet Home Chicago!
6,721 posts, read 6,485,209 times
Reputation: 9915
You're right aquietpath.

Trump 2016!
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Old 12-24-2015, 06:08 PM
 
11,755 posts, read 7,118,859 times
Reputation: 8011
I think Mr. Trump can continuously say stuff getting people's attention and get free media exposure until November 2016. Studies have shown that poll results are directly related to the amount of media exposure a candidate gets. So Mr. Trump would be tough to stop.

But for a brokered convention and the resulting nominee Jeb Bush.

People shouldn't be so ashamed to admit who they support.

Mick
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Old 12-28-2015, 10:55 AM
 
Location: New York
2,251 posts, read 4,916,356 times
Reputation: 1617
My view is Polls really don't tell the true story.
  • You ask a small percentage of people who they want to vote for?
  • Doesn't reflect the view of the whole group/city/state/country.
  • Few poles actually show how many people were included in the poll...
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