Iowa predictions

[JGMotorsport64]

Originally Posted by biscuitmom

Because in the mind of a Bernie supporter, everyone is a Bernie supporter.

Not even a Bernie supporter

[Smash255]

Originally Posted by dsjj251

I have seen one poll that says that, And I dont agree with it, and I will explain why.

There are a couple of web sites that name the precinct captains that are known to the public, they either caucused for obama or Clinton in 2008, not Kucinich or anyone to the fringe of the party like that.

These captains are also party leaders and activist, And that is Sander's flaw. He got into the organizing game so late that the people supporting him are unknowns, they arent going to sway anyone.

I think any polls showing how O'Malley supporters would break would likely be unreliable. When you start breaking down polls to 5% of the overall sample (which is what O'Malley is more or less averaging)the margin of error becomes through the roof. The Demoines Register poll basically said they couldn't draw conclusions from the O'Malley supporters 2nd choice because the sample size was so small.

Another interesting wrinkle to the whole thing is that overall vote totals aren't actually released, it is the delegates for each side that are election to the state Convention, and the % each candidate gets of those delegates. The delegates are awarded proportionally (as long as a candidate meets viability at each Preinct). Some of the districts have an even amount of delegates, others have an odd amount a delegates. With how close it is, chances are that any caucuses that award an even amount of districts will likely be a split unless someone wins big in that Caucus or O'Malley manages to meet viability of the Cauucs.

[dsjj251]

Originally Posted by JGMotorsport64

Debate form OMalley has been the 2 in a 1-2 attack on Clinton so far. He always makes a point to tell everybody what he thinks of Sanders.

Especially on the Glass Steagall issue

I have watched all the Democratic Debates, Townhalls, and Forums, pretty sure the 1-2 Punch was Clinton and O'Malley hitting Bernie, not the other way around, especially on guns

[Kaphawoman]

I said before that Cruz would win Iowa, but that was before Trump shone a spotlight on his eligibility and before Cruz sent those voter-shaming mailers. Now I think Trump will take it.