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Old 02-14-2016, 03:23 PM
 
Location: @derekspere
114 posts, read 72,807 times
Reputation: 61

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Based on the my understanding of how the campaign is moving, I feel that it is going to Ted Cruz Vs Hillary Clinton and that is going to be a really nasty one!

In spite of all the strides Berny is making in the Donkey party, he cant get past in most of the other states to get a nomination. He is too left for many democrats and independents.

Trump will start struggling when the debate and questions get more substantive. He cannot keep saying "wait and see what I will do" forever. Bush still seems to struggling even though he might surpass Rubio in coming months with all his money and fire power. Rubio is too young and inexperienced for the role and will slowly start to wither away. This leaves Ted Cruz to be the only one who seems to be balancing out most of these aspects.

My analysis is purely based on an objective look of the candidates. Let me know your views.
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Old 02-14-2016, 03:28 PM
 
Location: One of the 13 original colonies.
10,190 posts, read 7,958,896 times
Reputation: 8114
It is a sad day for this country to even think Hillary stands a chance to be the candidate for the Dummycrat party to be President. Damn this country is going to hell in a handbasket.
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Old 02-14-2016, 03:31 PM
 
3,953 posts, read 5,093,248 times
Reputation: 2574
Trump versus Hillary.
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Old 02-14-2016, 03:31 PM
 
52,430 posts, read 26,648,625 times
Reputation: 21097
Is it gonna be Ted Cruz vs HRC ?

No, Cruz won't be nominated.
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Old 02-14-2016, 03:34 PM
 
12,043 posts, read 6,576,479 times
Reputation: 13982
I suspect that Rubio is the only one who can add enough independents to beat Hillary.
I don't think Cruz would beat Hillary in the general election. 41% of voters are Independent, and I don't
think they will go for Cruz.

BTW -- Is there a difference between a donkey and a jack a$$ ?
What in the world would possess a political party to use a donkey/Jack a$$ as it's symbol???
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Old 02-14-2016, 03:35 PM
 
Location: @derekspere
114 posts, read 72,807 times
Reputation: 61
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Is it gonna be Ted Cruz vs HRC ?

No, Cruz won't be nominated.
Will be interesting to hear your position on this statement. Who else? Trump or Bush? I cant think of anybody reaching there.
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Old 02-14-2016, 03:36 PM
 
Location: Sweet Home Chicago!
6,721 posts, read 6,489,000 times
Reputation: 9915
Quote:
Originally Posted by Grizzmeister View Post
Trump versus Hillary.
I agree, and Trump will win.
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Old 02-14-2016, 03:39 PM
 
Location: @derekspere
114 posts, read 72,807 times
Reputation: 61
Quote:
Originally Posted by mountainrose View Post
I suspect that Rubio is the only one who can add enough independents to beat Hillary.
I don't think Cruz would beat Hillary in the general election. 41% of voters are Independent, and I don't
think they will go for Cruz.

BTW -- Is there a difference between a donkey and a jack a$$ ?
What in the world would possess a political party to use a donkey/Jack a$$ as it's symbol???
Somehow I cannot visualize Rubio as the C-I-C given his personality traits. He is good in his head and will mature into a good candidate, may be in a few years from now.
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Old 02-14-2016, 03:40 PM
 
11,046 posts, read 5,275,714 times
Reputation: 5253
Quote:
Originally Posted by derekspere View Post
Based on the my understanding of how the campaign is moving, I feel that it is going to Ted Cruz Vs Hillary Clinton and that is going to be a really nasty one!

In spite of all the strides Berny is making in the Donkey party, he cant get past in most of the other states to get a nomination. He is too left for many democrats and independents.

Trump will start struggling when the debate and questions get more substantive. He cannot keep saying "wait and see what I will do" forever. Bush still seems to struggling even though he might surpass Rubio in coming months with all his money and fire power. Rubio is too young and inexperienced for the role and will slowly start to wither away. This leaves Ted Cruz to be the only one who seems to be balancing out most of these aspects.

My analysis is purely based on an objective look of the candidates. Let me know your views.

For Cruz to beat Trump for the nomination he has to win in the states winner takes all delegates:


1) South Carolina 50 delegates
2) Florida 99 delegates
3) Illinois 69 delegates
4) Ohio 66 delegates
5) Arizona 58 delegates
6) Wisconsin 42 delegates
7) Delaware 16 delegates
8) Maryland 38 delegates
9) Pennsylvania 71 delegates
10) Indiana 57 delegates
11) Nebraska 36 delegates
12) California 172 delegates
13) Montana 27 delegates
14) New Jersey 51 delegates
15) South Dakota 29 delegates



If Cruz can't beat Trump in South Carolina.....forget the rest of the states in that list........Trump wins those states of winner takes all then all Trump has to do is get 30% min. in the rest of the states that are proportional.

Do you have a path for Cruz to get to 1,237 delegates to win the nomination? I don't without winning those states above.
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Old 02-14-2016, 03:42 PM
 
Location: Toronto
1,790 posts, read 2,052,654 times
Reputation: 3207
Aslong as it's Trump or Cruz, I'll be happy. Slam in the dunk victory for the Democrats.
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