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Eh, maybe because this link is from an English source, but the author didn't mention anything about the delegate voting process. The primaries are not a one-nighter and voting occurs over many months for the GOP nomination.
I personally don't think Trump will win the nomination based on the fact that he more than likely won't win Iowa and because of the nature of primary and delegate voting.
And here's why he's unlikely to win more delegates than that: Winning national party delegates is a long, hard, and complicated process. It happens on a state-by-state basis, under different rules, and over a period of five months. Heck, even if Donald Trump were to win Iowa (which he isn't likely to do and which would then likely cause his campaign's premise of him being a winner to fall apart), his delegates would have to make it through three more rounds of selection
Aside from those types of party machinations, the more crucial issue for Trump is that given his incendiary and non-inclusive rhetoric, it is highly unlikely that he can win the many national delegates that are up for grabs in the "blue" congressional districts. As David Wasserman has shown, once the field winnows, the moderate "establishment" candidate will likely have a "hidden structural advantage: the party's delegate math and geography." In essence, were the Republican nomination race to come down to Trump, Cruz, and Sen. Marco Rubio (or another one of the more establishment favored candidates, like Govs. Chris Christie or John Kasich), then it is quite possible that Rubio, while perhaps not gaining a majority, could wind up with a plurality of the delegates because he'd be likely be the recipient of the large number of delegates in the later, "blue" state (i.e., California and New York) primaries.
Eh, maybe because this link is from an English source, but the author didn't mention anything about the delegate voting process. The primaries are not a one-nighter and voting occurs over many months for the GOP nomination.
I personally don't think Trump will win the nomination based on the fact that he more than likely won't win Iowa and because of the nature of primary and delegate voting.
Not this nonsense again... Will never happen. Trump will win all after Iowa (and maybe Iowa too). If the GOP doesn't play fair, Trump will run as an Independent and that will guarantee a loss for the selected "establishment" GOP candidate. Even if he didn't run Independent, any unfair tactics by the GOP will result in a massive backlash. Don't underestimate the anger of GOP voters right now. Trumps rise is just as much due to anti-GOP sentiment as it is Pro Trump support.
Eh, maybe because this link is from an English source, but the author didn't mention anything about the delegate voting process. The primaries are not a one-nighter and voting occurs over many months for the GOP nomination.
I personally don't think Trump will win the nomination based on the fact that he more than likely won't win Iowa and because of the nature of primary and delegate voting.
It is plain to see you are using history as your yardstick to measure this election.
What you and many others need to understand is, this election will be like no other in history, due to Trump.
You can sit and babble all you want, and quote facts and numbers, but when it comes right down to it, no one knows who is going to be the next president, and we certainly can not use prior election as a yardstick because this election will be different than any before it.
Protocols that worked in the past won't work this time around.
States that are presently blue may very well be red before this election is over.
The message is loud and clear, people are tired of politics as usual, and I believe this will be the election that will get the highest percentage of voters, ever.
In this election, there are no certainties as in previous elections.
I believe the country is ripe for change from the same ole, same ole.
People who never voted before will vote this time around.
Change is coming, and the establishment of both parties had better take note.
The good old days of the good ole boys is over, and for once the voters will speak.
Some say the electoral college is the one that picks the president, and that is factual, but the electoral votes of each state will, with the exception of a couple of states, be winner takes all, and that is where I believe we are going to see big upsets.
I'm not a Trump fan but anyone who thinks he couldn't win may be in for a rude awakening.
In 1980, I remember the Dem's dream opponent was Ronald Reagan. Despite being a 2 term California governor, everyone just knew he was a crackpot who could never be taken seriously. After all...Bedtime For Bonzo? A staunch cold warrior in the era of detente? Tree's caused air pollution?
All the experts knew that George HW Bush, Howard Baker, even John Connally would be much tougher in the general election.
Funny how things turned out.
Also, in case one forgets. California has elected as governors political novices/ex- movie actors Reagan and also Ahnold. Super liberal Minnesota elected former pro wrestler Jesse Ventura as governor not too long ago. Never underestimate the power of celebrity.
Not this nonsense again... Will never happen. Trump will win all after Iowa (and maybe Iowa too). If the GOP doesn't play fair, Trump will run as an Independent and that will guarantee a loss for the selected "establishment" GOP candidate. Even if he didn't run Independent, any unfair tactics by the GOP will result in a massive backlash. Don't underestimate the anger of GOP voters right now. Trumps rise is just as much due to anti-GOP sentiment as it is Pro Trump support.
And what will the Trumpets sat when Trump the Birther loses primary after primary?
Not this nonsense again... Will never happen. Trump will win all after Iowa (and maybe Iowa too). If the GOP doesn't play fair, Trump will run as an Independent and that will guarantee a loss for the selected "establishment" GOP candidate. Even if he didn't run Independent, any unfair tactics by the GOP will result in a massive backlash. Don't underestimate the anger of GOP voters right now. Trumps rise is just as much due to anti-GOP sentiment as it is Pro Trump support.
I agree; in fact, I think Trumps support is more about anti everybody and everything that is entrenched in the "same ole same ole political machine. Anything that reeks of established political norms is what angers Trump supporters....be that PC, failure to enforce the laws, failure of candidates to say what needs to be said for fear of "offending" some race, religion, special interest group or whatever. People are sick of the same old Democratic canned speech and response as well as the Republican BS also. People want real change in this country; enforcement of immigration laws, a congress that actually does something and an executive branch that that the people can be proud of.....remember JFK! Don't count Trump out yet.....not because people like him or see him as the ideal president but rather that they are sick and tired of the same crap espoused by both sides of the establishment
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