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Hillary has lost Ohio & Florida. Topic is about her losing Pennsylvania.
sorry Waldo, I would love to believe what you are saying, but both states are a little to close right now to start gloating. It could come back to haunt you. As for Penn, I would love to see him surprise all of us, but it isn't likely right now.
I've begun to wonder if some of the frequent posters here on C-D are actually Democratic plants who post outrageous things to get others to respond with accurate information.
Hmmm. Some reverse psychology? I have noticed certain posters disappearing when Trump is doing very poorly so .. . maybe you are correct.
Quote:
Originally Posted by legalsea
Here is another poll, showing Hillary Rodham Clinton with a firm lead in Pennsylvania:
My guess is the polling numbers will continue to slide for HC. However, there isn't much way of actually measuring this because the slide is on-going and time is too short. Too short for HC to rebound.
Especially if she takes another hit in the next two to four days.
We all know there's probably a dozen or so more bombs that could drop on her in that time.
IBD herds. I wouldn't place too much value in them. They always go towards the averages in the end.
Quote:
Rather than look just at the final poll, Silver looked "at all the polls that a firm conducted over the final three weeks of the campaign, rather than its very last poll alone."
The reason, he said, "is that some polling firms may engage in "herding" toward the end of the campaign, changing their methods and assumptions such that their results are more in line with those of other polling firms."
When Silver did that analysis, he concluded that "Among the more prolific polling firms, the most accurate by this measure was TIPP, which conducted a national tracking poll for Investors' Business Daily."
Trump is doing better than or as good as Romney in the polls at this point in time...including with women.
In the IBD/TIPP tracking poll he's up 5% to 39% with women. It's the exact percentage (39%) Romney had by the same pollster at the same point in time in his race. Also, they both had the same 50% of men, same pollster, same time of year. It's Clinton who is doing worse with men than Obama in 2012.
4% of Republicans say they are voting for Clinton. It's the exact same percentage of Republicans who said they were voting for Obama instead of Romney, same pollster. Trump is doing slightly better than Romney with independents (2% difference) and with the working class waaaay better than Romney (50% vs 35%)
A poll showing Trump ahead by ONE point suddenly means he's going to win?
I thought Crooked Hillary won the election 2 weeks ago and had her cabinet picked. Oh yeah, there's a thing called voting... polls done to make Crooked Hillary look good only count in the minds of liberals and the gullible.
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