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Rcp Flórida is Blue, 538 Flórida is red, nate silver not updated, or put the latest research that came out ... a way to keep your audience ....After the disclosure of the mass early voting Democrats in Nevada, he stopped playing with the colors and let the light blue state since early morning.
Florida on 538 has been switching to blue and red for Florida and North Carolina all day.
A couple of noted Republican Never Trumpers made predictions on the election today.
Steve Schmidt (McCain 2004 Chair)- predicted Clinton win of from about 300 to 323 EV.
Bill Kirstol (Weekly Standard)- predicted a Clinton win with a national popular vote margin somewhere between Obama in 2012 (3.86%) and Obama in 2008 (7.26%).
A couple of noted Republican Never Trumpers made predictions on the election today.
Steve Schmidt (McCain 2004 Chair)- predicted Clinton win of from about 300 to 323 EV.
Bill Kirstol (Weekly Standard)- predicted a Clinton win with a national popular vote margin somewhere between Obama's in 2012 (3.86%) and Obama in 2008 (7.26%).
Is this suppose to have some significance? Why not ask Mickey Mouse?
During the Brexit election the Yes vote moved up the poll as the election date approached. However, the No vote was clearly positioned to win. So why didn`t it? 1. Younger voters didn`t turn out as predicted. 2. Many voters weren`t as concerned about free trade as they were were about increased competition for jobs.
Then there was were the No supporters could only see the Yes vote as xenophobic causing some Yes voters to shy away except from where it counted: the ballot box.
I won`t be surprised if Trump has an additional 2% unaccounted support. A % of Dem voters unaccounted for who don`t give a damn how many women Trump banged or how sexist he is or if he builds a wall or not. They’re concerned with their jobs and/or sick of Washington or whatever but they are crossing over to Trump.
Again I like Nate Silvers site but he was dead wrong about Trump in the primaries largely because of variables which can`t be measured this election.
The final Real Clear polling average had Romney down 1.5 yet Obama cleaned up because the voter turnout.
I have been quiet about so as to not tip off the Hillary liberals but yes, that is exactly the way I see it... I think it's bigger than 2%.. so if the borderline states are close, it's Trump... possibly Michigan even... that's why Clinton dumped millions in Michigan... if everyone is going to vote Trump... he WILL win...
During the Brexit election the Yes vote moved up the poll as the election date approached. However, the No vote was clearly positioned to win. So why didn`t it? 1. Younger voters didn`t turn out as predicted. 2. Many voters weren`t as concerned about free trade as they were were about increased competition for jobs.
Then there was were the No supporters could only see the Yes vote as xenophobic causing some Yes voters to shy away except from where it counted: the ballot box.
I won`t be surprised if Trump has an additional 2% unaccounted support. A % of Dem voters unaccounted for who don`t give a damn how many women Trump banged or how sexist he is or if he builds a wall or not. They’re concerned with their jobs and/or sick of Washington or whatever but they are crossing over to Trump.
Again I like Nate Silvers site but he was dead wrong about Trump in the primaries largely because of variables which can`t be measured this election.
The final Real Clear polling average had Romney down 1.5 yet Obama cleaned up because the voter turnout.
But HC is no Obama and Trump isn`t Romney.
Trump > Clinton Nov. 8th
Very good probability Trump can take Pennsylvania and 2nd district Maine... Michigan and Colorado are battleground states but Colorado is I think a lost cause... Wisconsin and Virginia cannot be won... all the other battleground states are Trump... New Hampshire is a must watch state...
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