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Old 09-30-2016, 04:17 PM
 
5,842 posts, read 4,182,960 times
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I have noticed a lot of posters on here saying Trump is up in the polls. They cite the LA Times/USC Tracking poll as proof. However, that is literally the only poll in which Trump is in the lead. The Real Clear Politics running average considers ten polls -- including the LA Times/USC poll -- and Clinton is currently up 3.1%. Of the ten polls they average, Clinton is leading in eight of them, one shows a tie, and Trump is leading the LA Times poll.

Isn't it a bit disingenuous to say "Trump is leading in the polls!" when literally only one out of ten polls has him in the lead?

For what it's worth, the LA Times poll is garbage due to methodological reasons. Here's a FiveThirtyEight article by Nate Silver that explains the methodological error: Election Update: Leave The LA Times Poll Alone! | FiveThirtyEight

Last edited by Wittgenstein's Ghost; 09-30-2016 at 04:39 PM..
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Old 09-30-2016, 04:19 PM
 
52,430 posts, read 26,654,666 times
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Yes he is.

LA Times Daily Tracking poll has him winning by wide margin.
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Old 09-30-2016, 04:20 PM
 
7,982 posts, read 4,292,171 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Yes he is.

LA Times Daily Tracking poll has him winning by wide margin.
I am truly sad for you.
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Old 09-30-2016, 04:21 PM
 
Location: 500 miles from home
33,942 posts, read 22,544,846 times
Reputation: 25816
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Yes he is.

LA Times Daily Tracking poll has him winning by wide margin.
You must die a little inside every time you have to mention the LA Times Daily Tracking Poll.
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Old 09-30-2016, 04:24 PM
 
52,430 posts, read 26,654,666 times
Reputation: 21097
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cali Doll View Post
I am truly sad for you.
Your poor attempt at personal insult doesn't change what I said.

Largest paper in your state says that Trump is going to win by wide margin.
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Old 09-30-2016, 04:24 PM
 
Location: Native of Any Beach/FL
35,711 posts, read 21,081,460 times
Reputation: 14257
Latimes. Let's see 80 % Mexican. 15 % movie stars. Hm hmm who are the calling???
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Old 09-30-2016, 04:26 PM
 
52,430 posts, read 26,654,666 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ringo1 View Post
You must die a little inside every time you have to mention the LA Times Daily Tracking Poll.
Nope. I'm not the one shilling for a criminal and incompetent bought & paid for politician.
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Old 09-30-2016, 04:33 PM
 
Location: Tampa, FL
27,798 posts, read 32,468,462 times
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Fox News Brit Baier is reporting that if the election were held today Clinton wins if you go by all the current polls.
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Old 09-30-2016, 04:37 PM
 
5,842 posts, read 4,182,960 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Yes he is.

LA Times Daily Tracking poll has him winning by wide margin.
Did you actually read my post? That poll is literally the only poll that has him up, and there are eight polls that have Clinton up.
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Old 09-30-2016, 04:38 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,290,712 times
Reputation: 5565
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Nope. I'm not the one shilling for a criminal and incompetent bought & paid for politician.
You are shilling for Trump though.
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