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He is hemorrhaging white, college educated voters. And he has done nothing to attract them. He is losing with women. He is losing with minorities. He is losing.
AND WHY WAS I NOT POLLED? Come on.
We heard this in 2012. Skewed polls, etc.
Not to say the polls can't change between now and election day - but as of this moment, Trump is losing.
dont these so call political "experts" and the parrots that repeat their non-sense look so foolish now.
Trump won 306 electoral college. He won 30 states, he won Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan, states that the GOP have never won since Madonna was doing her slutty videos on MTV in the 80's .
and the amazing thing about all this, Trump did it against the GOP establishment, against the Washington establishment, against the MSM and against 99% of all American Newspapers.....and he did it when Hillary outnumbered him in campaign spending 4 to 1 (Hillary spent over 1.2 billion dollars)
The only thing you are happy about is that he won? How about the issues? What about doing something about illegals? How's he going to fix Obama care? Get beyond the winning--we are beyond it and we are trying to talk about what he's doing. And what he's going to do.
There's really not a whole lot of intelligent conversations going on back and forth on CD's P&OC, so while we may be happy for many reasons, the point of resurrecting threads like this is to simply gloat in the face of the arrogance of the left for the past 18 months and beyond, and because they kept trying to take Trump's win away from him, and now they're crying about impeachment.
As soon as the left stops bellyaching about it, the sooner we stop laughing at them.
Why are you even bothering to post this? He's been in office one week! Accept it- Hillary lost, and there is nothing you or any of the protesters can do about it.
It's going to be extremely difficult for Trump to win this thing.
Forget about the demographics. The electoral map is HARD for giving him a path to victory. Hillary automatically starts with 225 electoral votes safely in her column. Trump only starts with 165. Hillary only needs to win 45 more electoral votes from swing states and she WINS! Trump would have to win a whopping 105 electoral votes from swing states in order to win.
Also, another voting bloc is the LGBT community, which is now only showing 20% support for Trump, down from 30% with Romney. And even more devastating is white people, which are only +11 with Trump, down from +20 with Romney.
Another thing people overlook is the overall national polling average trend between the convention and the election day. During this period in 2012, Romney took the lead FIVE times and still lost. But now, in 2016, Trump has yet to lead in this metric even ONCE!
Trump's net favorability rating is -20, which is among the worst in U.S. presidential candidate history. At least Hillary's is -10.
Finally, if anything, the polls are underestimating Democratic support. In 2012, the final polling average showed Obama being +0.7, but on election day he actually won with +3.9.
It's going to be extremely difficult for Trump to win this thing.
Forget about the demographics. The electoral map is HARD for giving him a path to victory. Hillary automatically starts with 225 electoral votes safely in her column. Trump only starts with 165. Hillary only needs to win 45 more electoral votes from swing states and she WINS! Trump would have to win a whopping 105 electoral votes from swing states in order to win.
Also, another voting bloc is the LGBT community, which is now only showing 20% support for Trump, down from 30% with Romney. And even more devastating is white people, which are only +11 with Trump, down from +20 with Romney.
Another thing people overlook is the overall national polling average trend between the convention and the election day. During this period in 2012, Romney took the lead FIVE times and still lost. But now, in 2016, Trump has yet to lead in this metric even ONCE!
Trump's net favorability rating is -20, which is among the worst in U.S. presidential candidate history. At least Hillary's is -10.
Finally, if anything, the polls are underestimating Democratic support. In 2012, the final polling average showed Obama being +0.7, but on election day he actually won with +3.9.
Hillary will win, period.
If you do this predictive type work for a living, you probably should find another profession.
Just in case you haven't heard, Mr. Donald J. Trump is now President Donald J. Trump.
I'm baffled that ANY white person who isn't on the DNC payroll would vote for a Democrat at this point. The Democrat Party's central theme is anti-Americanism with a healthy dose of anti-white bigotry.
They have become the party of "acceptable" fascism, racism, and anti-Americanism.
It's appalling.
"When was America great?"
"Minorities can't be racist by definition."
Polls are BS to some extent. They pretend to be all mathematical with their faux-statistical "margin of error". But polls are based on a model of who will vote. That model is an educated guesstimate. It's not statistical.
The vast majority of polls all made the same modeling error. They underestimated the likelihood that a Trump supporter would actually vote, and overestimated the same for Hillary.
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