Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Nelson isn't polling that high for an incumbent. Could Florida end up having two GOP senators?
It could very well happen. It should be a close race till the end. I see it as more of a positive rep for Scott making it close rather than bad numbers for Nelson. It’s just a matchup between two well known politicians; probably 2 of the top 3 most popular politicians in the state. It probably depends on turnout. Nelson needs a strong turnout by minorities and young voters in SE Florida to prevail. Scott has the edge with older voters who are more certain to show up in off year elections. Nelson probably would feel better with a huge turnout, which would be unusual in a regular off-year election.
Last edited by Bureaucat; 02-08-2018 at 06:00 PM..
Scott is expected to make a decision on whether to run after March 9th. which is when the state's Legislature's session ends.
He is still trailing Nelson in the polls.
Quite honestly it seems that after the poll predictions over the past 8 or so years we would all learn to take them with a grain of salt. This goes for both sides and most polls. There will always that will get some right, but the reputations for accuracy isn't very good.
That is a really small pool of polls. Regardless of what people think of polling, I wouldn't put much sway only three polls- especially when only one is that well known of an outfit.
I agree with Bureaucrat in regard to turnout. If one side mobilizes more than is typical in mid terms it will have a much bigger impact than when both sides typically spike for the Presidential elections. The other kicker for Florida is that it has so much more inward and outward migration that the demographics really can shift 2 points in either direction within a two year span. And with it being a state that typically does not see large margins of victory that can be as much of a game changer as turnout.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
