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I drove through Iowa in June, I know that can be an eternity in politics, but there were Trump signs everywhere. Des Moines around the University was the only place in the entire state where I saw *Biden signs. Went West to East across the entire state on state roads not the interstate.
I have a hard time buying this based on what I saw
June was an eternity ago. Urban areas areas are leaning strong Biden. Cedar Rapids, 2nd largest metro, is about 8:1 on Biden vs Trump signs. Des Moines usually votes similar to Cedar Rapids. Lots of Biden signs have popped up in the last few weeks. Driving through rural areas is not a good indicator of how the state will vote as urban areas make up about 60% of the population and are where population growth is occurring.
My frail, 88 year old mother is no newbie to cell phones. Years ago her doctor strongly pushed her to get one so that she would always have the ability to call for help if needed. She uses Uber to get to her doctor appointments. She uses Instacart and Doordash for groceries and meals.
She's also a facebook guru. I'd call her a master user of all things social media (she's even on Tiktok and Snapchat). That's primarily how I keep track of her.
Edited to add: she's not well-educated and she lives in a rural, solid red state. She's voting for Biden.
How many people answer their phones if they do not recognize the number on caller ID, especially during a time when the campaigns are calling for donations? I don't answer my cell phone unless I know who is calling, and I know many others that don't. Per the Attorney General regarding spam calls, don't answer unless you know who is calling. Plus that "contact tracing" element has me being extra careful to keep the Public Health Officer at bay as people have been called to tell them they have tested positive for COVID 19 when they were never tested!
Plus, no way to know if no one is answering and the polling agent is simply filling out the forms to meet a calling quota, at least as far as I know there isn't any way to do that.
I could find nothing about that poll regarding the methodology other than they called 693 Iowans on their cell phone or landline.
Conclusion: I wouldn't put much stock in this "poll", even less than most of the others, amounts to "none".
I'm beginning to think all the polls are just the media trying to convince Trump voters not to vote.
The crowds that Trump is gathering, as opposed to the handful for Biden and Harris, is amazing. And it's not the masks - few of the Biden/Obama/Harris attendees are wearing masks either when they group together outside their cars.
I tend to agree with this.
Lately, there is poll after poll being published with Biden up by unbelievable amounts.
I don't believe them, and the Democrats and left shouldn't either--I think they will be in for a big surprise.
Biden has minimal enthusiasm. But the media is on Biden's side, so it *appears* he has the momentum. The media is covering his son's explosive laptop news.
They also have enough sense, given the current circumstances, not to show up shoulder to shoulder and maskless at Trump's COVID rallies.
I agree - I wouldn't go to a Trump rally for that very reason - too risky given Covid is running rampant - well, there are other reasons too. It's just a PitA with all the traffic and security patrols. He was here in 2016 and drew 25,000 in a smallish high school football stadium, and I didn't go then. I've even quit going to college football games - I'm too old to put up with the inconvenience. Get off my lawn!
Lately, there is poll after poll being published with Biden up by unbelievable amounts.
I don't believe them, and the Democrats and left shouldn't either--I think they will be in for a big surprise.
Biden has minimal enthusiasm. But the media is on Biden's side, so it *appears* he has the momentum. The media is covering his son's explosive laptop news.
I'm not so sure the media are on Biden's side - they just hate Trump so much that anybody, including basically a walking corpse, gets their support. They're really counting on Biden not making it through the first year, and far leftwing Kamala Harris will slip in and take over. And Pelosi is her backup. Can you even imagine such a scenario? With AOC holding a cabinet position until she's old enough to run for president. Wow.
I'll have to hand it to AOC though. She's a freshman representative, and she's been anything but quiet. In other words, she's doing her job. Most congressman go to Washington and don't do anything, even in later terms. But she's a ball of fire, even though her proposals are diametrically opposed to mine. She's certainly not silent. I think she's hurting herself by aligning with the other 3 "squad" members though - they're not in her league.
Early votes in Iowa right now are 825k, total votes cast in 2016 was roughly 1.5 million. so > 50%.
quick math if the poll is accurate.
Biden has 404k votes.
Trump has 252k votes.
I noted this in the thread about the youth vote in Iowa - I’m wondering if waiting to vote until Election Day could backfire due to many fewer polling locations.
“Many, if not most Iowans are expected to vote early or absentee this cycle and voters have already broken at least one turnout record.
But for those who want to vote in person on Election Day, research has shown that polling place closures, consolidations and relocations can depress turnout.“
I noted this in the thread about the youth vote in Iowa - I’m wondering if waiting to vote until Election Day could backfire due to many fewer polling locations.
“Many, if not most Iowans are expected to vote early or absentee this cycle and voters have already broken at least one turnout record.
But for those who want to vote in person on Election Day, research has shown that polling place closures, consolidations and relocations can depress turnout.“
But Democrats are less inclined to vote on Election Day because of their fear of the pandemic, so it will be less crowded for Republicans.
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Get off my lawn! 
Can you even imagine such a scenario? With AOC holding a cabinet position until she's old enough to run for president. Wow.
