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Can't blame it all on Lin Wood ie why bother vote doesn't really count etc because run offs traditionally are lower but just enough are influenced or have their opinions reinforced the result is what you get. I can't believe the Georgia Republicans didn't get what losing the run offs could lead to. There's a leadership and strategy problem in the GOP Georgia.
There wasn’t a problem before Trump lost. There wasn’t a problem in the state election results.
The problem was too fold, two not so great candidates and a Party that was being fractured by Trump’s attacks on the state Republican leaders, election process and the Mainstream Republican that is just fed up with the Trumpers.
This will be an issue in other states come 2022 as the Party seems unable to separate itself from the Cult and Q members. They will do fine in the House gerrymandered seats but they will suffer in the statewide races for the Senate.
I believe it was mentioned upthread but it bears repeating- Stacy Abrams' group also registered 100k new voters (with a huge portion being 18 year olds who hit voting age between Nov and January) between the general and the runoff. Georgia and Texas are the two R strongholds where demographics point not only to more Dem friendly transplants but huge numbers of young people who are aging into the eligible voter pool. With them being more minority than older voters, being centered around large metros, and young people trending away from the Trump brand of Republicanism, these small quick bursts are likely to be tipping points in the same way rural and blue collar voters were for Rs in 2014 and 2020.
It should be noted that even in first round voting, Purdue had a less than two point lead and was pulled below 50%. He was the best performing R in the state. Ga elections will likely be based entirely on turnout for the next half decade. The automatic R advantage is no longer a guarantee.
I believe it was mentioned upthread but it bears repeating- Stacy Abrams' group also registered 100k new voters (with a huge portion being 18 year olds who hit voting age between Nov and January) between the general and the runoff. Georgia and Texas are the two R strongholds where demographics point not only to more Dem friendly transplants but huge numbers of young people who are aging into the eligible voter pool. With them being more minority than older voters, being centered around large metros, and young people trending away from the Trump brand of Republicanism, these small quick bursts are likely to be tipping points in the same way rural and blue collar voters were for Rs in 2014 and 2020.
It should be noted that even in first round voting, Purdue had a less than two point lead and was pulled below 50%. He was the best performing R in the state. Ga elections will likely be based entirely on turnout for the next half decade. The automatic R advantage is no longer a guarantee.
This is a great take on the subject. I tried in vain to explain this to my republican friend. The south can be flipped blue if black folks come out to vote en masse. States like GA, NC and SC don't have a Stacey yet but they will soon figure out their own power.
This is a great take on the subject. I tried in vain to explain this to my republican friend. The south can be flipped blue if black folks come out to vote en masse. States like GA, NC and SC don't have a Stacey yet but they will soon figure out their own power.
NC Democrats have a habit of shooting themselves in the foot. I've said this before in other threads, but Cal Cunningham almost certainly would've beaten Thom Tillis if he had kept it in his pants. Many people on both sides despise Tillis. However, the memories of John Edwards are still pretty fresh in NC, and people weren't eager for a repeat.
Another thing that got to me was that NC state sen. Jeff Jackson was initially going to run for the Senate last year, but Schumer talked him out of it. Jackson is much more likeable than Cunningham and isn't as boneheaded. I wish Schumer had stayed out of it. I'm sure looking back that Schumer wishes he had also. At least Jackson is running for Burr's soon-to-be old seat next year.
This is a great take on the subject. I tried in vain to explain this to my republican friend. The south can be flipped blue if black folks come out to vote en masse. States like GA, NC and SC don't have a Stacey yet but they will soon figure out their own power.
NC is a trickier state because it has a lower AA population than GA as well as fewer Asians and no huge LGBTQ magnate like Savannah and Atlanta. The Charlotte area that recently started flipping Dem because business minded voters are not aligning with Rs on social issues used to be an R area based on business interests (if that makes any sense.) This basically meant white NC voters had to go more Dem than white GA voters for the Democrats to keep it to a 1 point margin.
I'm from SC and we are going to remain an R stronghold because we do not have any dominant metros like Atlanta, Charlotte or Raleigh that have become the hallmark of most D states. We also tend to attract a lot of retirees and more conservatives in terms of people who migrate to the state. So while the transplants are tipping NC and Ga blue, they are actually keeping SC more red.
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