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Old 06-20-2008, 02:25 PM
 
Location: Washington state
7,211 posts, read 9,432,712 times
Reputation: 1895

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A new Rasmussen (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2008_new_hampshire_presidential_election - broken link) poll of the state of New Hampshire has Obama with a nice 11% lead over McCain at 50%-39%. This is noteworthy because Bush won the state in 2000 and though Kerry was victorious in 2004 it was only by 1%. Could this be an early indicator of an overall trend towards Obama?
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Old 06-20-2008, 02:31 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,950,814 times
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You'd like to think so. Haven't you kept abreast of what states are considered "swing" states?

Hint; NH is one of them. 3 of the last 4 elections it was "blue".
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Old 06-20-2008, 02:36 PM
 
Location: Washington state
7,211 posts, read 9,432,712 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
You'd like to think so. Haven't you kept abreast of what states are considered "swing" states?

Hint; NH is one of them. 3 of the last 4 elections it was "blue".
As I mentioned previously, Bush won it in 2000 and Kerry won it by only 1%. Obama's big lead in NH, though not a swing state, is indicative of his strength, or McCain's weakness, throughout the country.
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Old 06-20-2008, 02:53 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,950,814 times
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Quote:
Obama's big lead in NH, though not a swing state, is indicative of his strength, or McCain's weakness, throughout the country.
Really!! The WHOLE country? One state indicates a country-wide trend? OK.
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Old 06-20-2008, 04:19 PM
 
580 posts, read 1,681,268 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Upton View Post
A new Rasmussen (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2008_new_hampshire_presidential_election - broken link) poll of the state of New Hampshire has Obama with a nice 11% lead over McCain at 50%-39%. This is noteworthy because Bush won the state in 2000 and though Kerry was victorious in 2004 it was only by 1%. Could this be an early indicator of an overall trend towards Obama?
I wasnt surprise to see a lead for Barack Obama in NH due to other polls showing him leading in Vermont and Maine.
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Old 06-20-2008, 04:45 PM
 
Location: pensacola,florida
3,202 posts, read 4,434,577 times
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who cares?the election is still 4.5 months away,that is an eternity in presidential politics.4.5 months before the first primaries nobody thought obama or mccain would be the nominees of their parties.
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Old 06-20-2008, 04:48 PM
 
Location: The D-M-V area
13,691 posts, read 18,456,585 times
Reputation: 9596
Between now and November there will be millions of polls taken, all with a margin of error (+/- 5 or whatever number they use on their poll).

Who follows polls?

Honestly, who seriously follows polls? The sample is always so narrow and small.

I want to know when was the last time a pollster called you on the phone for your opinion?
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Old 06-20-2008, 04:50 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,950,814 times
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I've never been called.
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Old 06-20-2008, 04:59 PM
 
Location: Tampa, FL
161 posts, read 384,449 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 100%Michigan View Post
I wasnt surprise to see a lead for Barack Obama in NH due to other polls showing him leading in Vermont and Maine.
Vermont and Maine voters are very different than New Hampshire voters. VT and ME tend to be liberal, Maine perhaps more conservative. Most of NH however are very conservative and I would expect that most of their voters are registered as independents. Despite what some might believe about the Northeast, most are fairly moderate in their views. Even in VT who sometimes gets labeled as the most liberal state, of the registered voters that I know, they are independents and will vote for either party depending on what they truly believe the country needs.

That being said, Obama being ahead in the polls is not surprising. But it is no indication of where Obama stands in the rest of the country.
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Old 06-20-2008, 05:01 PM
 
Location: Bridgetown, Ohio
526 posts, read 1,482,605 times
Reputation: 145
Default Truth Be Told

Yes it is worrisome. Surely the fact that Obama has gotten a lot of press lately, having just beaten one of the most powerful political machines in modern day politics.

McCain obviously has not caught on yet - and Obama has not self-destructed yet.
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