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Old 05-11-2020, 09:52 AM
 
Location: Bergen County, New Jersey
12,161 posts, read 7,997,139 times
Reputation: 10134

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Boston core:
1950

Populations 1950 (2019)
Boston: 801k (702k)
Cambridge: 120k (122k)
Somerville: 102k (82k)
Medford: 66k (58k)
Everett: 46k (52k)
Chelsea: 38.5k (42k)

1950
Total Boston Core: 1,174,000 People
Total Boston Core Area: 72.5 square miles
Total Boston Core Population Density:16,193 people per square mile
-Somerville at early 25,000 people per square mile

2019
Total Boston Core Population: 1,061,000 People
Total Boston Core Area: 72.5 square miles
Total Boston Core Population Density: 14,635 people per square mile

Going Forward? (Pre COVID Predictions)
Cambridge, Somerville and Everett will most likely grow the fastest as they have the most permits of construction/units per capita ready to go. Cambridge could add ~12-15k people every 10 years, while Somerville could grow by nearly 20k people by 2030 with nearly 8k units under construction and approved or in the pipeline as of 2020. Surely, the coronavirus will play a role but in the waning of the market, but its too early to say how much the market will shrink here. But before the pandemic, Somerville was adding a healthy 5.5k units by 2025 with major projects like Union Square, Assembly Square and vast infill developments.

Boston has a lot of potential, but its becoming unfeasible to build there. Construction costs are up 55% from 2012 to 2019, and market rate units start around $700k for a 1 bedroom condo. After this boom, I really dont see hwo it can build at the rate we saw in 2010-2019. The city will mosst likely fill up whats u/c, and an exodus of the poorer/blue collar communities in Dorchester, Mattapan and Roxbury will occur due to skyrocketing rents and stagnant wages. There are huge projects planned but the likelihood of Boston actually completing them now is slim to none. Boston struggles big time with corruption in the development industry and I cant see it passing 750,000 people by 2030. Now with coronavirus, Boston will be lucky if it pierces 725,000 by 2030.

I think Boston has maxed its self out with its current infrastructure in place. It needs to severely improve the MBTA, Housing Costs and construct more units to even think of growing at the rate we saw in the 2010s. Im bleak on the city proper growing at what they thought they could.

Last edited by masssachoicetts; 05-11-2020 at 10:00 AM..
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Old 05-11-2020, 09:55 AM
 
Location: Green Country
2,868 posts, read 2,816,527 times
Reputation: 4798
Quote:
Originally Posted by masssachoicetts View Post
Boston core:
1950

Populations 1950 (2019)
Boston: 801k (705k)
Cambridge: 120k (122k)
Somerville: 102k (82k)
Medford: 66k (58k)
Everett: 46k (52k)
Chelsea: 38.5k (42k)

1950
Total Boston Core: 1,174,000 People
Total Boston Core Area: 72.5 square miles
Total Boston Core Population Density:16,193 people per square mile
-Somerville at early 25,000 people per square mile

2019
Total Boston Core Population: 1,061,000 People
Total Boston Core Area: 72.5 square miles
Total Boston Core Population Density: 14,635 people per square mile
Not bad actually for an older metro. That 113,000 deficit can be made up in a decade or two.
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Old 05-11-2020, 10:02 AM
 
Location: Bergen County, New Jersey
12,161 posts, read 7,997,139 times
Reputation: 10134
Quote:
Originally Posted by manitopiaaa View Post
Not bad actually for an older metro. That 113,000 deficit can be made up in a decade or two.
See said comments about how I think that should pan out.
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Old 05-11-2020, 10:56 AM
 
Location: West Seattle
6,376 posts, read 4,993,181 times
Reputation: 8448
Huh, I could've sworn SF was still below its peak.

Also didn't San Jose lose population from 2017-18? (and likely also from 2018-19 given that Santa Clara County shrank)
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Old 05-11-2020, 11:14 AM
 
Location: Boston, MA
795 posts, read 482,406 times
Reputation: 1062
Lists like this are interesting. It shows that this type of listing is transitory for most cities (Boston, Baltimore, Detroit, St. Louis, Washington DC, etc.) Can be on top one minute, and have a significant fall...
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Old 05-11-2020, 11:59 AM
 
Location: Baltimore
21,629 posts, read 12,746,938 times
Reputation: 11221
Quote:
Originally Posted by manitopiaaa View Post
Not bad actually for an older metro. That 113,000 deficit can be made up in a decade or two.

Those numbers dont tell the whole story.

Boston was way down in 1980. Cambridge was down too bottoming at 95k in 1980. Chelsea bottomed at 25k. They lost 288k people between 1950 and 1980. THere was much abandonment and blight.

In 2000 Boston still only had 589,000 people. Chelsea went from 45k in 1930 to 25k in 1980.

It's been a very very long road for Boston to get to this point. With our decline beginning in the 1930s.

As massachoicestts said the growth is pretty much winding down and slowing alot. Even pre-COVID
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