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I'm really liking the overall track guidance
The overall intensity guidance is still a bit of an enigma at the moment. Not really surprising considering we haven't even got a closed circulation and we are 5-7 days out.
Just showing what's out there as of 1035am EST Tuesday August 23, 2016. Hurricane Hunter aircraft in 99L this morning/afternoon. A Global Hawk drone being sent by NASA in the morning for a 24 hour recon flight into Gaston.
The overall intensity guidance is still a bit of an enigma at the moment. Not really surprising considering we haven't even got a closed circulation and we are 5-7 days out.
Models painting an interesting picture...Euro and GFS at odds (no surprise there)...GFS which had been calling for larger storm near the East Coast now appears to have almost nothing, while the Euro has been apparently trending towards S Florida as a fairly weak system but then into the Gulf of Mexico where it hits warmer waters and we have a possible larger storm on our hands heading into northern Gulf.
Models will continue to flux...we don't have the technology or science in them yet to accurately predict Tropical systems that far out. All interest in the Gulf of Mexico and along the SE US coast should continue to monitor this system. And get ready for likely crazy social media post & pictures :-)
Models painting an interesting picture...Euro and GFS at odds (no surprise there)...GFS which had been calling for larger storm near the East Coast now appears to have almost nothing, while the Euro has been apparently trending towards S Florida as a fairly weak system but then into the Gulf of Mexico where it hits warmer waters and we have a possible larger storm on our hands heading into northern Gulf.
Models will continue to flux...we don't have the technology or science in them yet to accurately predict Tropical systems that far out. All interest in the Gulf of Mexico and along the SE US coast should continue to monitor this system. And get ready for likely crazy social media post & pictures :-)
Subscribe to hurricane track. He is very knowledgeable and does daily updates in hurricane season and makes videos regarding hurricane season even in winter. He also goes over historical hurricanes. Very informative videos.
The overall intensity guidance is still a bit of an enigma at the moment. Not really surprising considering we haven't even got a closed circulation and we are 5-7 days out.
Great video! Thanks! Worth a watch if you're reading this!
Np! It's done by a guy named Mark suduth. Very informational videos.
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