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I asked the owner for this software if he can get us the Satellite updates every 10 minutes at least. This every 30 minutes update isn't working for me.
I know there are other better sites but none that show it for past 4 hours like this.
Ok--I have no depth in this field...trying to gleam useful and likely hints...
Do I interpret your "lol" comment means you think there is no danger to the US based on your background/ability to analyze-anticipate?
That Irma likely goes NE out to sea vs US landfall?
Yet the reason I think Levi Cowan is trustworthy is that he says you can't predict too far in advance because of the variables that influence weather systems...
I asked the owner for this software if he can get us the Satellite updates every 10 minutes at least. This every 30 minutes update isn't working for me. ....
This is what happens when we get something as amazing as GOES16/East satellite lol!!! Becomes fully operational in November.
Ok--I have no depth in this field...trying to gleam useful and likely hints...
Do I interpret your "lol" comment means you think there is no danger to the US based on your background/ability to analyze-anticipate?
That Irma likely goes NE out to sea vs US landfall?
Yet the reason I think Levi Cowan is trustworthy is that he says you can't predict too far in advance because of the variables that influence weather systems...
Cambium is likely responding to you as I type this but I beleive is referring to the WestSouthWest/SouthWest track Irma is on...it happens but you don't see that very often. Typical storms that "high up" on the map almost always recurve out to sea by this point. So I take the lol as to say most people wouldn't give it 5 seconds were this on a more normal WNW moving storm at it's current/recent location because it would likely be turning out to sea, but since its moving down instead of up we watch closely. Yes Levi of TropicalTidbits is a great resource!
Basically sums up the current situation. And a good reminder to not just focus on the "cone" maps as they don't go out far enough to show the potential 90 degree turn some of the models are suggesting (still highly subject to change). This is just the models that make up the Euro model:
I forget why I put lol. Lol. (Damn Im old) I think it was implying that we're still talking about Irma otherwise it would of just went OTS and we wouldnt have been active in this thread. That SW move was key to a U.S hit
As a newbie I appreciate the responses to my likely lame questions which offer information, not ridicule...
I have been on the wrong/negative end of statistics too many times to assume good news when tragedy is "unlikely"...
The worst failure I am coming to believe is the failure of imagination...with all its ramifications...
Woke this morning with a much better outlook on the storm. If these trends hold VA Beach is in the clear. Sorry to FL and maybe the Gulf.
If I where you I would still keep my eye on this. I think the models will start a northward shift again today. Not much westward or southward trend left for it because of an area of high pressure in the Gulf. We are still a good 5 days away from any substantial impact. EPS actually shifted its mean last night slightly north and east.
Also guys, don't believe the GFS intensity forecasts. It certainly could go sub 900 but 880s landfalling in Florida after going over Cuba and passing by shredderola ( Hispaniola)? makes absolutely no sense.
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