Pacific - Xavier forms November 2, 2018 (storms, inches, moving, map)

[Psychoma]

3Nov18 8aPDT/10aCDT/11aEDT: Tropical Storm Xavier formed Friday evening 2Nov2018. Now estimated winds 50mph(85km/h), moving ENE 8mph(13km/h), pressure 1000mb.

Storm expected to eventually turn back out to sea after approaching the W Mexico coast line. Storm has about 24 hours or so to strengthen before strong shear starts to weaken it.



Official updates for East Pacific basin storms comes from the US National Hurricane Center based in Miami, FL. Updates are issued at 2 & 8am/pmPDT(5 & 11am/pmEDT) (If Watches/Warnings issued then updates are also added at 5 & 11am/pmPDT (2 & 8am/pmEDT) here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac

Cone map (Shows: Current storm wind field at storm center(orange: winds 39mph+, red: 74mph+), Classification (Black/white dots with letters: "D" = Depression, "S" = Tropical Storm, "H" = Cat1 or Cat2 Hurricane, "M" = Major Hurricane (Cat3+)), any coastal tropical Watches/Warnings, and the "cone" is where the center of the storm could be over time (it's NOT the size of the storm), effects of the storm can be felt outside this area:



Some Satellite imagery sources:
-Tropical Tidbits: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/
-GOESeast(GOES16): https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/index.php
-WeatherNerds: https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/floaters/

[Psychoma]

4Nov18 - 1pPST/4pEST (Updates now are released 1-hour sooner because Daylight Savings time has ended. US National Weather Service runs on Zulu/UTC time which doesn't change their clocks).

Estimated winds 50mph(85km/h), moving N 6mph(9km/h), pressure 1001mb.

Tropical Storm Warning (winds 39+mph expected) for Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula, Mexico. Storm just close enough to shore to bring TS winds in. This will begin to fade and pull away from the coast sometime Monday.

Socorro Island in the possible path Tuesday / Wednesday but storm looks to be mostly fallen apart by then with high wind shear weakening it.

[Psychoma]

5Nov18 4aPST/7aEST - Estimated winds 60mph(95km/h), moving NW 3mph(6km/h), pressure 999mb. Turning away from land now. 1-4inches of rain along the coast possible.

[Psychoma]

5Nov18 evening - Estimated winds 45mph(75km/h), moving WNW 6mph(9km/h), pressure 1004mb. Xavier has become post-tropical as it heads out to sea - no more advisories will be issued by the NHC. An archive of previous advisories can be found here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2018/XAVIER.shtml?