Thoughts on this Hurricane (days, storm, season, most)

[reese7]

I had heard a few people on the weather channel and local weather talking about this strorm or hurricane that is coming and moving slowly that they are watching. We are moving from Michigan to N. Carolina in a week close to Virginia. I have no idea if it will come in anyones direction but what happens when they do.

[trlhiker]

It is still at least 7 to 10 days away and the forecast is very uncertain. Don't even give it a thought just yet.

[Nomadicus]

Take shelter! Go farther inland maybe. I went through 3 in my house in central FL in '04. Lost power but no one in the area was injured. Lost a lot of trees. Common sense goes a long way with hurricanes. Most always there is ample warning to seek strong shelter. Avoid flood prone areas. Have a full tank of gas and plenty of non perishable food and bottles of water and you got a good party going. Oh and flashlight batteries and battery powered radio and your set for the storm. Just don't take the warning lightly err on the side of safety.

You can keep a close eye on it here:

National Hurricane Center

[mattyj46]

5 Day forecast


Models on where it could go


latest bulletin posted:

000
WTNT32 KNHC 062057
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 PM AST SUN JUL 06 2008

...BERTHA STRENGTHENING...COULD BECOME A HURRICANE...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.0 WEST OR ABOUT 1055
MILES...1700 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR.
A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. IT IS
MUCH TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF BERTHA WILL EVENTUALLY AFFECT ANY
LAND AREAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST AND BERTHA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...18.1 N...47.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

Source:National Hurricane Center

[Jammie]

Most of the time they fizzle out or veer out into the ocean so I wouldn't be concerned YET. I've never lived in a hurricane area, but you may want to brush up on the things that people who live in those areas do for preparation. You know~have plenty of water, canned foods, box with your valuables and deeds and titles, etc. You'll probably want to have a plan as to where you will go when you have to evacuate.

Maybe someone will be so kind as to make up a list of what they have done in the past?????

And good luck on your move.

[I LOVE NORTH CAROLINA]

Originally Posted by Jammie

Most of the time they fizzle out or veer out into the ocean so I wouldn't be concerned YET. I've never lived in a hurricane area, but you may want to brush up on the things that people who live in those areas do for preparation. You know~have plenty of water, canned foods, box with your valuables and deeds and titles, etc. You'll probably want to have a plan as to where you will go when you have to evacuate.

Maybe someone will be so kind as to make up a list of what they have done in the past?????

And good luck on your move.

The best advise I can give someone, after living through one is GET OUT OF TOWN! I will never do that again! But if you do have to go through one, Jammie gave some good advise, stock up on can goods, water, protect your valuables best you can, have LOTS of batteries, candles are not good, they put out heat and can cause fires.

[dxiweodwo]

I hope it dosne't hit the US, now that i live in south FL, i have to pay attetntion to the tropics.....AGAIN!!!! The best advice I can give somone is evecuate, if you can't then always carry a first-aid kit and water bottles, and buy plenty of food.

[mattyj46]

Latest (notable changes in bold):

000
WTNT32 KNHC 070234
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 PM AST SUN JUL 06 2008

...BERTHA RIGHT ON TRACK...APPEARS TO BE ON ITS WAY TO BECOME A
HURRICANE...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.9 WEST OR ABOUT 930
MILES...1500 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR.
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS
WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. IT TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE
IF BERTHA EVENTUALLY AFFECT ANY LAND AREAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BERTHA WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE ON
MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...18.6 N...48.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

[mattyj46]

000
WTNT32 KNHC 070845
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 AM AST MON JUL 07 2008

...BERTHA BECOMES THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE 2008 ATLANTIC SEASON...

AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.2 WEST OR ABOUT 845 MILES...
1365 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR.
A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AS
BERTHA REMAINS OVER THE WATERS OF THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF BERTHA WILL EVENTUALLY AFFECT
ANY LAND AREAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 75 MPH...120KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...19.3 N...50.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

And here we are folks, first hurricane of the 2008 Season.

[mattyj46]

Wow went to bed when it just became a Cat 1 hurricane now I wake up to find it a catogory 3 hurricane.

000
WTNT32 KNHC 072035
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 PM AST MON JUL 07 2008

...BERTHA STRENGTHEN TO A MAJOR HURRICANE WITH 115 MPH WINDS...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.1 WEST OR ABOUT 730 MILES...
1175 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT
1150 MILES...1855 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BERTHA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY
ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...20.1 N...52.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.







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