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If this is just a run-of-the-mill correction, then we are looking at another four months of pain, history shows. If the losses deepen into a bear market (down 20 percent), then it could be 22 months before we revisit these highs, history shows.
After years of high expectation driven stock prices, now the broad market price-to-earning ratio is over 30, it needs to come back to 15 to 20 to be reasonable. That's 30-50 % to go, how do we get there? Earnings won't go up that much even with tax cut. Only two times in history it went over 30: the dot com bubble, and the great recession.
Talking about bubbles in the past, my favorite mighty Amazon (AMZN) was trading at $86 back in late 1999, a year or so later, it was trading below $6. I want to ask Bezos, how did the company lost 93% of its value?
22 months? Sounds good to me. The last time we had this panic - '08ish - was the period where I did the best. If you can see the buying opportunity on the other side of the short-term hardship you'll be a happy camper.
22 months? Sounds good to me. The last time we had this panic - '08ish - was the period where I did the best. If you can see the buying opportunity on the other side of the short-term hardship you'll be a happy camper.
Yeah, but WHEN to start buying back in is the magic question.....Will it be at DOW 20K or Dow 17K or Dow 15K ???
Just my opinion, but when it comes to sound financial advice, Harry Dent is pretty good . . . . . . at selling his books.
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