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Old 02-08-2018, 05:44 PM
 
Location: Florida & Cebu, Philippines
2,805 posts, read 3,255,171 times
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Interesting read, might be worth your time.
Quote:
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/08/the-...pens-next.html
The S&P 500 fell officially into correction territory on Thursday, down more than 10 percent from its record reached in January.

If this is just a run-of-the-mill correction, then we are looking at another four months of pain, history shows. If the losses deepen into a bear market (down 20 percent), then it could be 22 months before we revisit these highs, history shows.
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Old 02-08-2018, 06:04 PM
 
106,680 posts, read 108,856,202 times
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Bear markets are usually part of recessions. This drop is because things are to good. My gut feeling is we will be back not in years but months.
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Old 02-08-2018, 06:18 PM
 
1,087 posts, read 782,692 times
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After years of high expectation driven stock prices, now the broad market price-to-earning ratio is over 30, it needs to come back to 15 to 20 to be reasonable. That's 30-50 % to go, how do we get there? Earnings won't go up that much even with tax cut. Only two times in history it went over 30: the dot com bubble, and the great recession.

Talking about bubbles in the past, my favorite mighty Amazon (AMZN) was trading at $86 back in late 1999, a year or so later, it was trading below $6. I want to ask Bezos, how did the company lost 93% of its value?
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Old 02-08-2018, 06:19 PM
 
7,934 posts, read 8,593,400 times
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The bears are out of the cage
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Old 02-08-2018, 06:20 PM
 
Location: Arizona
3,155 posts, read 2,733,506 times
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22 months? Sounds good to me. The last time we had this panic - '08ish - was the period where I did the best. If you can see the buying opportunity on the other side of the short-term hardship you'll be a happy camper.

Last edited by tommy64; 02-08-2018 at 06:39 PM..
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Old 02-08-2018, 06:35 PM
 
2,674 posts, read 2,628,363 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 6oo9 View Post
the broad market price-to-earning ratio is over 30
This website says the sp500 pe is 24:

S&P 500 PE Ratio


Are you referring to something else?
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Old 02-08-2018, 09:33 PM
 
1,433 posts, read 1,063,232 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tommy64 View Post
22 months? Sounds good to me. The last time we had this panic - '08ish - was the period where I did the best. If you can see the buying opportunity on the other side of the short-term hardship you'll be a happy camper.
Yeah, but WHEN to start buying back in is the magic question.....Will it be at DOW 20K or Dow 17K or Dow 15K ???
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Old 02-08-2018, 09:53 PM
 
6,632 posts, read 4,305,411 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mathjak107 View Post
Bear markets are usually part of recessions. This drop is because things are to good. My gut feeling is we will be back not in years but months.
I agree with this assessment.
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Old 02-08-2018, 10:03 PM
 
Location: Sputnik Planitia
7,829 posts, read 11,790,682 times
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harry dent says 14,000 DOW by April


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nxGVx6q7dZY
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Old 02-08-2018, 10:12 PM
JRR
 
Location: Middle Tennessee
8,166 posts, read 5,662,692 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by k374 View Post
harry dent says 14,000 DOW by April


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nxGVx6q7dZY
Just my opinion, but when it comes to sound financial advice, Harry Dent is pretty good . . . . . . at selling his books.
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