Quote:
Originally Posted by rjm1cc
What was the return on the equity part? Bond funds will lose money if longer term and interest rates increasing. Who picked the 50/50? If they did and the bonds are long term I would move on. 1/2% return is very very poor.
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this is myth and not correct. it is not how you look at bond funds and compare .
High quality bond funds don't actually lose money if you hold them for the funds duration . ultimately you end up with around the return you got the day you bought that fund .
it is just that bond funds like a bunch of individual bonds have a time frame that you need to hold them . the rising rates offset the falling nav until you reach a point they equal what they were the day you bought them.
what people forget is that when looking at bond fund returns in rising rates is the fact that you need to go back at least as far as that funds duration to compare . .
so as an example a total bond bond (ftbfx) may be down 2.22% ytd but if you go back the 5 or 6 years to match the funds duration of 5.60 years , that fund actually returned over 2% which had you bought a 5 year cd back then is actually a better return , the bond fund did a bit better as they usually tend to . 5 year cd's at the time were 1.80% .
so everything is relative to what you were getting when you bought in .
for those buying in now , ftbfx has an sec yield of 3.38% . a five year cd is around 3% . 5-6 years from now the returns will be close . they both will be behind the curve if rates rise but both will get positive returns regardless close to what was offered the day they bought in .
so each high quality bond fund has a duration value and that value is your guide as to how long it will take to get around the rate you bought at .
you should be laddering bond funds the way you ladder cd's . you don't buy a total bond fund which typically has a 5-6 year duration for money you need in 3 years .
you buy a shorter duration fund for that money .
so as an example ,for someone living off their portfolio i would use a money market for this years money or an ultra short bond fund , a short term bond fund for the 1-3 year range , an intermediate term bond fund going out to 5 years and then a total bond fund or equal for 6 years or more .
so basically you ladder the funds and you won't lose . you may lag behind current rates if they rise but you won't get less then you were offered the day you bought .