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View Poll Results: When will $TSLA become the most valuable company in the world?
Before 2024 9 13.85%
2024 - 2028 5 7.69%
2028 - 2032 3 4.62%
2032 - 2036 1 1.54%
2036 - 2040 2 3.08%
2040 - 2045 0 0%
You are high as a kite. 45 69.23%
Voters: 65. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 06-30-2020, 03:19 PM
 
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Simple assumptions:

Continued 40% year of year growth.

Soon to be learnt advanced battery tech solidifies their large lead in EV market.

But also portends massive growth in Energy, Airplane, Cargo Boat, and Autonomous Vehicle markets.

I would guess about 2 trillion market cap will be close enough to be most valuable company.

Conservatively estimating 40% growth of revenue and stock price, it will take about 7 years. Let's say 2028.
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Old 06-30-2020, 05:29 PM
 
Location: Warwick, RI
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Well, if you're predicting a $2 trillion market cap by 2028, where will AAPL and MSFT be by then? Both of those companies are already around $1.5 trillion, so it's doubtful that even IF TSLA hit $2T by 2028 (I find that unlikely) that AAPL and MSFT would both still be bigger. I believe AMZN and GOOG are in the over $1T club as well.
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Old 06-30-2020, 05:52 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by treasurekidd View Post
Well, if you're predicting a $2 trillion market cap by 2028, where will AAPL and MSFT be by then? Both of those companies are already around $1.5 trillion, so it's doubtful that even IF TSLA hit $2T by 2028 (I find that unlikely) that AAPL and MSFT would both still be bigger. I believe AMZN and GOOG are in the over $1T club as well.
A 10% growth rather 2020-2028 would put one or both 1.5 trillion dollar companies at 3 trillion plus to your point
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Old 06-30-2020, 07:06 PM
 
Location: Warwick, RI
5,475 posts, read 6,296,558 times
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You created a thread called When will “Tesla become the worlds most valuable company“, and I gave you my thoughts. I don’t believe it will.
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Old 07-01-2020, 09:05 AM
 
3,771 posts, read 1,523,068 times
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why the sudden rise in price? did they announce new battery tech? i thought battery day was postponed.
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Old 07-01-2020, 10:09 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blahblahyoutoo View Post
why the sudden rise in price? did they announce new battery tech? i thought battery day was postponed.
Battery Day is tentatively scheduled for September.
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Old 07-01-2020, 10:18 AM
 
Location: Boston
20,099 posts, read 9,003,220 times
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battery technology and products spawned from it will become increasingly more competitive. No one rides for free.
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Old 07-01-2020, 06:12 PM
 
Location: Cypress, CA
936 posts, read 2,080,703 times
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The possibility of Tesla breaking even in this quarter even with the shutdown and challenging economic environment. Although the leaked email about the Elon pushing deliveries because they are so close to break even is questionable in authenticity. Also if Tesla manages to break even then they will be included into the S&P500 and many index funds have to buy TSLA to mirror the index thus pushing demand for shares higher.

Quote:
Originally Posted by blahblahyoutoo View Post
why the sudden rise in price? did they announce new battery tech? i thought battery day was postponed.
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Old 07-01-2020, 06:47 PM
 
5,907 posts, read 4,428,919 times
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Never.
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Old 07-01-2020, 11:54 PM
 
Location: Silicon Valley
7,644 posts, read 4,593,440 times
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This is an interesting site:
https://archive.fortune.com/magazine...ive/full/1965/

When General Motors ruled the automotive world they were the main game in the world. In 1965 they were just shy of $17B in sales and were over $1.7B in profits. Exxon trailed them at over $10B and $1B in revenue and profits, respectively. Automotive was the top of the food chain and the companies following were other automakers, the supply chain or gasoline companies. Auto was king.

The highest tech concern was IBM, at $3.2B and $431M in revenues/sales.

If Tesla can scale and become the dominant player, they are in the right industry. They arguably have the best product at the moment, but how long do they stay there? When Toyota first exported their vehicles, they weren't better, but they were cheaper. As Tesla does things like launch their new pickup soon, they'll be running directly into things like Ford's new F-Series hybrid that promises 500 miles a tank. Can they win in the area to dominate enough to take the high margin vehicles? Time will tell. The stakes are huge though.
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