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Old 06-27-2021, 09:09 AM
 
Location: Illinois USA
1,346 posts, read 884,206 times
Reputation: 986

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what is the opinion of members here on Lacy Hunt
he certainly has the credentials but is he sincere ? or makes sense ?


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kbotiZ0E2lc

https://rebeccawang3707.medium.com/d...t-fd05053149cb
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Old 06-27-2021, 12:54 PM
 
30,916 posts, read 37,085,721 times
Reputation: 34579
I don't know the guy, but I have seen really smart people with all the credentials get things wrong more than once.
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Old 06-27-2021, 01:17 PM
 
12,022 posts, read 11,629,201 times
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He has a newer video predicting inflation then deflation. He thinks it's only due to the cyclical rebound, and doesn't really factor in the trade war and the shift in supply chains. It all depends on what happens with the central banks. They could walk away from propping up the bond and equity markets, but nothing suggests they'll do anything in a meaningful way. Powell is actually printing faster than the stated policy, and his reverse repos seem to be having the effect of leveraging up the banks by lending them safe treasury bills for their balance sheets.
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