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It's very hard (almost impossible) to oust a sitting incumbent from within the same party, but it does happen. Republicans almost ousted Arlen Specter in the primary election. The primaries take place before the national election and the winner becomes the official candidate for that party in that election.
booker would lose support of the national machine if he tried to oust a somewhat respected sitting senior member of congress. but...booker doesn't always play the game so it's possible. unlikely, but possible.
more likely would be he runs for House of Rep first, then runs for Senate when the seat opens. But he strikes me more of a local politics guy than national politics right now. I am ok with him in Newark or in the Gov's office.
When a big city mayor becomes Governor he often continues to favor his city to the exclusion of the rest of the state.
he may favor his city, but that doesn't mean he must exclude the rest of the state. PA has experienced both types...Rendell was funneling money back to Philly, but back in the day, Casey represented the entire state well.
Barring something crazy, I doubt CC loses his second term. The Dem's will be thinking very carefully about who to put up to run against him. I don't think they will waste one of their "stars" on the next election cycle. On top of that Booker has to deal with the fact that Norcross and the "South Jersey Dem Machine" are definitely looking to make one of their guys the next governor, most likely Steve Sweeney. Unlike the Rep's there are really two Dem parties in NJ, a southern and a northern and each are run by different "bosses". The previous Dem governors have all been from the north and the southern block has supported them hard. Now, that the southern block has been gaining influence and they have legit contenders, I think they want to take their shot at putting a governor in office. It would complete Norcross's "Kingmaker" reputation.
Booker is well known in urban North Jersey, but he is a virtual unknown in South Jersey and there are at least two well seasoned South Jersey Dem's who could take a shot at the governor's office and want it. However, I can see them waiting until 2017 to run in an open race where they don't need to deal with a now very strong CC in the eyes of the public. Norcross doesn't want to waste his shot. So, that does leave an opening for Booker if he wanted to try in 2013, but I just don't see him playing well right now in the suburbs.
Booker is young and I think bradykp is right that the next logical step for him as a mayor is probably to transition into the House of Reps or state legislature. He probably has at least 8+ years (CC second term followed by a Sweeney run) before he would make a lot of sense.
I know that this is slightly off-topic, but it is political in nature so I am going to post it anyway.
I am sitting by the phone, eagerly awaiting call-backs from roofing contractors and tree-removal specialists, and I am being bombarded by robo-calls of a political nature.
Okay, it is election season, so I guess that this is to be expected.
Yesterday, I received a robo-call from Bill Clinton, urging me to vote for Bob Menendez for Senate.
Also yesterday, the Somerset County Clerk robo-called me to assure me that, "even in these trying circumstances" my vote would be counted...and to be sure to vote for her.
Earlier today, I got a robo-call from Cory Booker. To be honest, after he finished the boiler-plate, "I hope that you fared well in the recent storm" verbiage, I hung up, so I don't even know what else he had to say, but I assume that he was robo-calling to urge that I vote for one or more Democrats.
And then, a few minutes ago, I received a robo-call from the Houston (Texas, of course) Republican organization, urging me, "as a registed Republican", not to vote for "a turncoat Republican" (whose name I don't recall), whom they do not favor for election to the Houston city council.
Why they would be calling me, since I am...
...not a registered Republican...
and
... I live in NJ...
...is a mystery to me, but...if this represents their "efficient, business-friendly skills" that the caller bragged about, I have to say that I was not impressed!
Last edited by Retriever; 11-06-2012 at 10:20 AM..
Barring something crazy, I doubt CC loses his second term. The Dem's will be thinking very carefully about who to put up to run against him. I don't think they will waste one of their "stars" on the next election cycle. On top of that Booker has to deal with the fact that Norcross and the "South Jersey Dem Machine" are definitely looking to make one of their guys the next governor, most likely Steve Sweeney. Unlike the Rep's there are really two Dem parties in NJ, a southern and a northern and each are run by different "bosses". The previous Dem governors have all been from the north and the southern block has supported them hard. Now, that the southern block has been gaining influence and they have legit contenders, I think they want to take their shot at putting a governor in office. It would complete Norcross's "Kingmaker" reputation.
Booker is well known in urban North Jersey, but he is a virtual unknown in South Jersey and there are at least two well seasoned South Jersey Dem's who could take a shot at the governor's office and want it. However, I can see them waiting until 2017 to run in an open race where they don't need to deal with a now very strong CC in the eyes of the public. Norcross doesn't want to waste his shot. So, that does leave an opening for Booker if he wanted to try in 2013, but I just don't see him playing well right now in the suburbs.
Booker is young and I think bradykp is right that the next logical step for him as a mayor is probably to transition into the House of Reps or state legislature. He probably has at least 8+ years (CC second term followed by a Sweeney run) before he would make a lot of sense.
he can run after christie but i think he and christie seem to have a pretty decent working relationship they both have made sacrifices to make newark better... maybe after sweeny he could get the endorsement from christie though
...and he would pass CC very quickly, while our esteemed governor clutches his chest and collapses on the ground.
I'm sorry.
The Devil made me say that, but you really shouldn't provide such easy set-ups for jokes unless you are trying to encourage those jokes.
Last edited by Retriever; 11-06-2012 at 04:09 PM..
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