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Isn't it a foregone conclusion the man will be voted out of office much like many Democratic congressmen and senators? Why would any educated and rational person think Obama will win re-election in 2012?
For one who the GOP nominates will play a role. If they are stupid enough to nominate Palin, he is almost assured of reelection. Secondly, not being popular during the midterms doesn't assure that you will lose. In fact if you look at the last four Presidents, you could make the opposite argument.
George W Bush was popular during the 2002 Midterms, granted he did win, but he won the smallest reelection margin any two term President ever had. His father was popular during the midterms of 1990 yet he lost reelection.
Meanwhile, Clinton was not popular during the 1994 midterms (his numbers were pretty close to what Obama's are now, and if anything slightly lower) and he won reelection easily. Reagan was even more unpopular during the 82 midterms, and dropped down to approvals in the 35% range in early 83, yet won in a landslide in 1984.
Anything can happen between now and 2012, that's the thing. He could pull out some history changing thing that makes every single person in the country be like, "yeah....he's got the goods."
If he's lucky enough to run against Palin, he will.
Depends on the economy and who the GOP runs against him. 2 years is a long time.....
Two years is definitely a long time....
I personally believe that many who are currently being swept up in the Tea Party frenzy will be disappointed by the time 2012 rolls around. I don't believe that they will get the massive overhaul that they are anticipating from there newly elected Palinesque State Reps. That disappointment will only benefit President Obama in 2012.
It depends on who is running against him. If it's Palin, he will win reelection easily . . . I hope for my country that he would win reelection easily in that case. Obama may struggle against a more moderate Republican.
Really, it's too early to tell. A lot can happen between now and November 2nd, 2012.
If its one of the usual suspects then the Republicans probably will not win.
The fundamentalists and the anti-Muslim crowd will not vote for Jindal or Romney (even though both are Christians)
The "sane" will not vote for Sarah Palin
The anti-illegal immigration crowd won't vote for Rubio
John McCain is too old and probably wouldn't run anyway
Who am I missing?
This is a real problem. A rehash isn't going to do it, unless the GOP just decides it's a lost cause and tosses another "hail mary" candidate into the ring. That may end up being what happens, giving them time to groom someone who is up for the job. Time is running out, but much can happen in 2 years.
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